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England Championship - Luton Town VS Derby County Prediciton
England Championship - Luton Town VS Derby County
Match Time:21-12-2024 04:00 Saturday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Luton Town - WLLDWL
Luton Town will be hoping to bounce back here following the 2-0 Championship defeat last time out to Blackburn Rovers.
In that match, Luton Town had 50% possession and 10 attempts at goal with 4 on target. At the other end, Blackburn Rovers got 12 shots on goal with 6 of them on target. Amario Cozier-Duberry (32') and Owen Beck (40') scored for Blackburn Rovers.
It’s been a rare occasion in recent times where Luton Town have managed to hold out for a full 90 minutes. It will be a concern for them that Luton Town have seen their defence breached in 5 of their previous 6 clashes, leaking 11 goals during that time.
A look at their previous results shows us that Luton Town:
haven't been beaten in the league by Derby County in their previous 2 games.
are undefeated in their previous 5 league matches at home.
Tom Lockyer (heart problems) and Reuell Walters (unknown injury) will not be able to play for Luton Town boss Rob Edwards.
We are thinking that The Hatters should go for a 3-4-2-1 system for this one, beginning the first half with Thomas Kaminski, Mads Juel Andersen, Mark McGuinness, Tom Holmes, Victor Moses, Tom Krauß, Jordan Clark, Tahith Chong, Elijah Adebayo, Cauley Woodrow and Carlton Morris.
Derby County - DLLLDW
Derby County will go into the clash following a 4-0 Championship win to defeat Portsmouth in their most recent fixture.
In that match, Derby County managed 50% possession and 17 shots at goal with 7 on target. For Derby County, the goals were scored by Kane Wilson (8'), Eiran Cashin (23') and Ebou Adams (29'). Portsmouth had 3 shots on goal with 0 on target. Marlon Pack (65' Own goal) was the scorer for Portsmouth.
Paul Warne's Derby County have seen their goal attempts be successful 7 times in the course of their most recent 6 matches. The number of goals that have been scored against them during that same period comes to 7.
Looking at the pre-match facts, Derby County:
have not registered a win against Luton Town when they've played them away from home in the last 3 league games.
have not won away from home in their last 3 league matches.
Derby County boss Paul Warne has to contend with a number of unavailable players. Eiran Cashin (Hamstring injury), Ryan Nyambe (Torn knee ligaments), Tawanda Chirewa (Torn thigh muscle) and David Ozoh (Hamstring injury) won’t be making appearances.
We are inclined to think that The Rams seem likely to begin the game with a 4-3-3 system with a starting lineup of J. W. Zetterström, Kane Wilson, Curtis Nelson, Nathaniel Phillips, Craig Forsyth, Kenzo Goudmijn, Ben Osborn, Ebou Adams, N. Mendez-Laing, Marcus Harness and Jerry Yates.
Luton Town possible starting lineup:
Kaminski; Holmes, McGuinness, Hashioka; Moses, Krauss, Clark, Chong; Adebayo, Woodrow, Morris
Derby County possible starting lineup:
Zetterstrom; Wilson, Nelson, Phillips, Forsyth; Goudmijn, Osborn, Adams; Mendez-Laing, Harness, Yates
Luton Town vs Derby County Head-to-Head and Key Numbers
Luton Town and Derby County are on an even footing as far as the head-to-head record is concerned and have won 18 matches apiece out of the 47 games played between the two teams.
Luton Town have lost only one of their last five matches against Derby County in league competitions and won this exact fixture by a 1-0 scoreline when it was last played in 2022.
Derby County have lost each of their last three matches away from home against Luton Town in league competitions, with each of these defeats coming by different scorelines.
Luton Town have lost only one of their last nine matches at home in league competitions and have managed to keep three clean sheets in these games.
Derby County have won only one of their 11 matches away from home in the league in the 2024-25 season.
Prediciton: Luton Town 2-1 Derby County
Despite their overall recent struggles, Luton are still a formidable opponent in front of their Kenilworth Road crowd, especially if the supporters have something to cheer about. Derby are notoriously poor on their second-tier travels and without the talents of Cashin in the side, we envisage the Rams suffering a narrow defeat in Bedfordshire.
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