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English Premier League - Newcastle United VS Aston Villa Prediction
English Premier League - Newcastle United VS Aston Villa
Match Time:26-12-2024 23:00 Thursday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Newcastle United
Newcastle United will see the return of Joelinton from suspension, but his involvement remains uncertain due to a facial injury that required stitches after the recent EFL Cup victory over Brentford. Meanwhile, Joe Willock, who picked up a minor knock during the match against Ipswich Town, is expected to be available for selection.
However, the Magpies are still dealing with several key absences, including first-choice goalkeeper Nick Pope, Callum Wilson, Sven Botman, Jamaal Lascelles, and Emil Krafth. With Callum Wilson unavailable, Alexander Isak will continue to lead the line, having already netted 23 Premier League goals in 2024.
His form places him among the league’s top scorers for the year, trailing only Erling Haaland (26) and Cole Palmer (25). Jacob Murphy, in fine form with multiple goal involvements across his last three league matches, is likely to retain his spot and provide support alongside Anthony Gordon in Newcastle’s attacking setup.
The Magpies are expected to line up in a 4-2-3-1 formation. Martin Dubravka will start as the goalkeeper, with Tino Livramento occupying the right-back position and Lewis Hall deployed on the left. Fabian Schar and Dan Burn will form the central defensive partnership.
In midfield, Sandro Tonali and Bruno Guimaraes will operate as the holding duo, providing a balance of defensive coverage and playmaking capabilities. Joe Willock is anticipated to take on a more advanced midfield role.
In attack, Jacob Murphy and Anthony Gordon will flank Alexander Isak, who leads the line as the central striker. Murphy and Gordon will provide width and creativity, while Isak will spearhead the Magpies’ offensive efforts with his clinical finishing.
Aston Villa
Aston Villa’s attacking setup remains uncertain, as Ollie Watkins could be recalled to the starting lineup after being used sparingly in recent matches. However, Jhon Duran has been in excellent form, having scored four decisive goals in the Premier League this season.
Additionally, Duran boasts the best minutes-per-goal ratio in the league, finding the net once every 80 minutes. Both Watkins and Duran have scored seven top-flight goals this term, but Unai Emery has so far refrained from pairing the two together, prioritizing midfield strength.
In midfield, Amadou Onana is likely to retain his place alongside Boubacar Kamara and Youri Tielemans, providing stability and creativity in the centre of the pitch. On the positive side, Leon Bailey has recently returned from a muscular injury, adding depth to the squad, while Jacob Ramsey has resumed training, though he will not feature in this fixture.
Emery is fortunate to have an almost fully fit squad available for the trip to St James’ Park. Aston Villa are expected to adopt a 4-2-3-1 formation. Emiliano Martinez will start in goal, providing leadership and shot-stopping expertise. Matty Cash and Lucas Digne will occupy the right and left full-back roles, respectively, with Ezri Konsa and Pau Torres forming the central defensive duo.
In midfield, Boubacar Kamara and Amadou Onana will operate as the defensive pivot, offering protection to the backline while contributing to ball progression. Youri Tielemans will play in an advanced midfield role, flanked by John McGinn on the right and Morgan Rogers on the left, adding creativity and attacking intent. Leading the attack will be Jhon Duran, whose sharp finishing and ability to capitalise on chances make him a significant threat to Newcastle’s defence.
Newcastle United vs Aston Villa Head-to-Head and Key Numbers
Newcastle United have a good historical record against Aston Villa and have won 75 out of the 173 matches played between the two teams, as opposed to Aston Villa's 59 victories.
Newcastle United are unbeaten in their last 15 matches at home against Aston Villa in the Premier League, with their previous such defeat coming by a 3-0 scoreline in April 2005.
Aston Villa have lost four of their last five matches against Newcastle United in the Premier League and suffered defeat in both their league games against the Magpies last season.
Newcastle United and Aston Villa have lost more matches on Boxing Day than any other team in the history of the Premier League.
Aston Villa have lost each of their last three matches on Boxing Day in the Premier League.
Prediction: Newcastle United 2-1 Aston Villa
Newcastle (16) and Aston Villa (15) come into this festive contest having lost more Premier League games on Boxing Day than any other clubs in the competition's history. A lesser power away from home, Villa could now draw level with their hosts in that dubious ranking, as the Magpies are flying high after recovering their form in the final third.
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