Italian Serie A - Bologna VS AC Milan Prediction

Italy Serie A - Bologna VS AC Milan
Match Time:28-02-2025 03:45 Friday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Bologna FC 1909
Bologna head into this rescheduled clash with minimal injury concerns, with only Emil Holm unavailable for selection. Jens Odgaard has returned to training earlier than expected and could be included on the bench, giving Vincenzo Italiano an extra attacking option.
Following their disappointing 2-0 defeat to Parma, Italiano is expected to make several changes as Bologna look to bounce back while also keeping one eye on their weekend fixture against Cagliari. Lukasz Skorupski is set to return as the first-choice goalkeeper, while Riccardo Orsolini, Bologna’s top scorer, is expected to be reinstated to the starting XI to provide an additional attacking threat.
Meanwhile, former Milan duo Tommaso Pobega and Davide Calabria could keep their places in the side, adding a familiar element to this high-stakes fixture. Calabria, who was Milan’s club captain until last month, will be particularly motivated to make an impact against his former club.
Bologna are likely to set up in a 4-2-3-1 formation, a system that gives them defensive stability while allowing their attacking players to break forward in transition. In goal, Lukasz Skorupski will take his place between the posts, bringing experience and reliability to the side.
The back four will consist of Davide Calabria at right-back, with Sam Beukema and Jhon Lucumi forming the central defensive partnership. Juan Miranda will slot in at left-back, offering both defensive coverage and attacking support when needed.
In midfield, Remo Freuler and Nikola Moro will operate as a double pivot, with Freuler sitting deeper to dictate play while Moro links defence to attack. Further forward, Riccardo Orsolini will take up his usual position on the right wing, using his dribbling and goalscoring ability to trouble Milan’s defence.
Tommaso Pobega, deployed in an advanced central role, will provide attacking support and physicality, while Dan Ndoye will add pace and directness on the left flank. Leading the line will be Santiago Castro, tasked with holding up play and capitalizing on any goalscoring opportunities against a Milan defence that has looked vulnerable in recent weeks.
AC Milan
AC Milan will remain without Ruben Loftus-Cheek and Kyle Walker, as both players are still recovering from injuries and following personalized training programs. While their return is approaching, neither will be available for this midweek clash against Bologna.
Additionally, Emerson Royal is sidelined, further limiting Milan’s right-back options. With Kyle Walker also unavailable, Alex Jimenez could be given the nod to start at right-back, though Davide Bartesaghi and Filippo Terracciano are also under consideration.
Head coach Sergio Conceicao may choose to disband his so-called ‘Fab Four’, a tactic that has failed to deliver the desired balance in recent matches. This could mean that one of Christian Pulisic, Joao Felix, or Rafael Leao starts from the bench in favour of a more stable setup. Meanwhile, Mexican striker Santiago Giménez is expected to retain his place as Milan’s main attacking threat.
Milan are set to stick with a 4-2-3-1 formation, offering attacking fluidity while maintaining defensive discipline. In goal, Mike Maignan will continue as the first-choice goalkeeper, providing a commanding presence between the posts.
The defensive line will feature Alex Jimenez at right-back, with Fikayo Tomori and Strahinja Pavlovic forming the centre-back pairing. On the left, Theo Hernández will continue as the attacking full-back, looking to exploit spaces and support the attack.
In midfield, Youssouf Fofana and Yunus Musah will form the double pivot, with Fofana bringing defensive stability, while Musah will offer energy and drive from central areas.
In the attacking midfield trio, Christian Pulisic will likely start on the right wing, with Tijjani Reijnders operating as the central playmaker, responsible for linking midfield to attack. Rafael Leao is expected to feature on the left flank, providing pace, dribbling, and goalscoring ability.
Leading the line will be Santiago Gimenez, the Mexican forward who has quickly established himself as Milan’s first-choice striker, using his movement and finishing ability to trouble opposition defences.
Bologna possible starting lineup:
Skorupski; Calabria, Beukema, Lucumi, Miranda; Freuler, Moro; Orsolini, Pobega, Ndoye; Castro
AC Milan possible starting lineup:
Maignan; Jimenez, Tomori, Pavlovic, Hernandez; Fofana, Musah; Pulisic, Reijnders, Leao; Gimenez
Bologna vs AC Milan Head-to-Head and Key Numbers
Thursday's game will mark the 170th meeting between Bologna and Milan. The home side have won 42 of their previous matchups while the visitors have won 81 times.
There have been 46 draws between the two teams including their most recent matchup which ended 2-2.
The visitors are on an outstanding 17-game unbeaten streak in this fixture, a run dating back to 2016.
The Rossoneri have conceded 26 goals in Serie A this season. Only Inter (24), Napoli and Juventus (21) have shipped fewer.
Prediction: Bologna 1-1 AC Milan
Bologna are tough to beat on home soil, while Milan are amid an awful run of results on the road. Doing neither side any favours in their quest to catch Italy's top four, a low-scoring draw could be on the cards.
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