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German Bundesliga - St. Pauli VS Borussia Dortmund Prediciton
German Bundesliga - St. Pauli VS Borussia Dortmund
Match Time:01-03-2025 22:30 Saturday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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FC St. Pauli
Alexander Blessin has a plethora of fitness issues that are hampering his preparations ahead of his side’s latest fixture. The FC St. Pauli manager might be bereft of the services of as many as seven first-team players vs Borussia Dortmund on Saturday.
Morgan Guilavogui is the most notable absentee, with the Malian international recovering from a wrist injury. The 26-year-old accompanies Sascha Burchert (groin), Karol Mets (knee), James Sands (ankle), Robert Wagner (thigh), and Simon Zoller (calf) on the sidelines. In addition, Blessin is sweating over Manolis Saliakas’s fitness, with the Greek defender recovering from a hamstring issue.
Nikola Vasilj will take his spot between the sticks, with FC St. Pauli lining up in a 3-4-3 formation in front of him vs Borussia Dortmund on Saturday. The central defensive unit should feature David Nemeth, Hauke Wahl, and Siebe van der Heyden. Philipp Treu and Lars Ritzka will likely start as the two wing-backs.
As for the midfield unit, there is no looking past Eric Smith and Jackson Irvine. The duo will aim to keep things tight in the middle of the park and restrict Julian Brandt and Jamie Gittens. Finally, Johannes Eggestein will lead the line for FC St. Pauli against Borussia Dortmund, with Elias Saad and Noah Weisshaupt being the two wide attackers.
Borussia Dortmund
Unlike his counterpart in the FC St. Pauli dugout, Niko Kovac barely has any issues to worry about ahead of the trip to Millerntor-Stadion. The Borussia Dortmund manager will be without only one first-team player, with Felix Nmecha recovering from a knee injury.
Gregor Kobel is an automatic pick between the sticks, with Borussia Dortmund lining up in a 4-2-3-1 formation in front of him vs FC St. Pauli on Saturday. The backline should feature Julian Ryerson, Emre Can, Nico Schlotterbeck, and Ramy Bensebaini.
As for the midfield unit, there is no looking past Marcel Sabitzer and Pascal Gross in the double pivot. Julian Brandt will likely reprise the no. 10 role, with Jamie Gittens and Karim Adeyemi being the two wide attackers. Finally, Serhou Guirassy will spearhead the Borussia Dortmund attack against FC St. Pauli on Saturday.
FC St. Pauli vs Borussia Dortmund Head-to-Head and Key Numbers
The two teams have squared off 23 times across competitions. Dortmund lead 16-3.
They met for the first time after two years in the reverse fixture in October, which Dortmund won 2-1 at home.
St. Pauli (18) have the worst goalscoring record in the Bundesliga this season. Seven of them have come at home.
Dortmund have won two of their 11 Bundesliga away games this season. Seven of their nine league losses have come on their travels.
St. Pauli haven't scored in six of their last 10 league games, keeping three clean sheets.
Dortmund have kept two clean sheets in their last three games and have failed to score twice.
Prediction: FC St. Pauli 1-3 Borussia Dortmund
Goalscoring has been the Achilles Heel for FC St. Pauli in 2025, with the home side finding the back of the net only six times thus far this year, as many as Serhou Guirassy. However, Borussia Dortmund’s defensive woes have meant they have struggled for clean sheets, although they have two in their last three outings.
However, the hosts also have a soft underbelly, and Borussia Dortmund should exploit that on Saturday. Serhou Guirassy should rise to the occasion again, delivering the goods in a run-of-the-mill victory. The Hard Tackle predicts a 3-1 win for Niko Kovac and his charges.
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