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Coppa Italia - Inter Milan VS AC Milan Prediction
Coppa Italia - Inter Milan VS AC Milan
Match Time:24-04-2025 03:00 Thursday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Inter Milan
With a relentless run of fixtures in April continuing, Inter Milan manager Simone Inzaghi must rotate his squad wisely for this season-defining Coppa Italia semi-final. The Nerazzurri are juggling three major fronts — Serie A, Champions League, and Coppa Italia- and with a crucial domestic clash against Roma at the weekend and a European semi-final looming against Barcelona, squad management has never been more vital.
Inzaghi will once again have to make do without key wing-back Denzel Dumfries, who remains sidelined with a muscular issue. Polish international Piotr Zielinski, who has yet to play a decisive role in the campaign, is also unavailable due to injury.
Meanwhile, the in-demand Marcus Thuram, a regular strike partner to Lautaro Martinez, remains a serious doubt after picking up a knock; his absence was felt against Bologna and could significantly affect Inter’s attacking rhythm if he fails to recover in time for Wednesday night.
On the suspension front, Alessandro Bastoni and Henrikh Mkhitaryan are both one yellow card away from a domestic ban, though this applies only to Serie A matches and not the Coppa Italia. Therefore, both are expected to feature prominently on Wednesday.
If Thuram is unavailable, the responsibility of leading the line alongside Lautaro Martinez could fall on either Joaquin Correa, who started against Bologna, or veterans Marko Arnautovic and Mehdi Taremi, who offer experience and physical presence. Meanwhile, Martinez is on the verge of history, just one goal away from becoming only the third Inter player to reach double digits in the Derby della Madonnina.
In terms of tactical setup, Inter are expected to line up in their trusted 3-5-2 formation. Yann Sommer will retain his place in goal, shielded by a defensive trio of Yann Bisseck, Stefan de Vrij, and Alessandro Bastoni.
Wing-backs Matteo Darmian and Carlos Augusto will provide width, while the central midfield trio will consist of Nicolò Barella, Hakan Calhanoglu, and Henrikh Mkhitaryan — an engine room that combines creativity, composure, and tactical intelligence. Up front, Mehdi Taremi should start alongside Lautaro Martinez if Thuram fails to make the squad.
AC Milan
Sergio Conceicao faces a critical selection dilemma heading into this decisive Coppa Italia semi-final second leg. AC Milan are still licking their wounds after a frustrating 1-0 defeat to Atalanta at the weekend, and several key players remain unavailable through injury.
The absence of Kyle Walker and Emerson Royal continues to limit Conceicao’s flexibility on the flanks, while Ruben Loftus-Cheek, who has been an influential figure in midfield this season, is also ruled out. The bright side, however, is the return of striker Santiago Gimenez, who resumed full training recently and even made a late appearance from the bench in the weekend loss.
While the Mexican striker is not expected to start, his presence will be a welcome option in the second half if AC Milan need a late goal. Up front, the competition for the central striker role remains fierce, with Tammy Abraham and Luka Jovic battling for a place in the starting XI.
Abraham, who has found form in key cup ties this season, is likely to get the nod again, flanked by Rafael Leão and Christian Pulisic in a revamped 3-4-3 formation. This setup reflects Conceicao’s tactical shift in recent weeks, designed to shore up the defence while offering width and pace in the final third.
Mike Maignan will continue in goal, providing leadership and world-class shot-stopping abilities. In front of him, the back three should consist of Fikayo Tomori, Matteo Gabbia, and Strahinja Pavlovic — a blend of physicality, positioning, and aerial strength. With both first-choice full-backs sidelined, Alex Jimenez is expected to retain his place on the right flank, while Theo Hernández offers his usual dynamic presence on the left.
In central midfield, Youssouf Fofana and Tijjani Reijnders are expected to form the core pairing, responsible for disrupting Inter’s rhythm and launching counters from deep. Both players bring a balance of energy and passing range, which will be vital in transitional play.
Given the high stakes and Milan’s desperate need for silverware, and perhaps more crucially, a route back into Europe, this setup gives Conceicao the attacking edge and defensive structure required to go toe-to-toe with Inter in one of the most important Derby della Madonnina clashes in recent memory.
Inter Milan possible starting lineup:
Sommer; Bisseck, De Vrij, Bastoni; Darmian, Frattesi, Calhanoglu, Mkhitaryan, Augusto; Martinez, Arnautovic
AC Milan possible starting lineup:
Maignan; Tomori, Gabbia, Pavlovic; Jimenez, Fofana, Reijnders, Hernandez; Pulisic, Abraham, Leao
Inter Milan vs AC Milan Head-to-Head and Key Numbers
This will be the fifth edition of the Derby della Madonnina this season. The two sides have a long-standing rivalry and have crossed paths 243 times in competitive games. Inter have the upper hand in these meetings, recording 91 wins. Rossoneri are not far behind with 81 wins, and 71 games have ended in draws.
Their league meeting in February ended in a 1-1 draw, the same as the first leg.
Milan are unbeaten in their last four meetings against their local rivals, recording two wins.
Inter Milan have not lost at San Siro since a 2-1 loss to AC Milan in Serie A in September.
The Rossoneri have a slight upper hand in Coppa Italia meetings against Inter, recording 10 wins in 28 games, one more than the Nerazzurri.
Inter are unbeaten in their last four Coppa Italia meetings against Milan, recording two wins and keeping two clean sheets.
Prediction: Inter Milan 2-1 AC Milan (Inter win 3-2 on aggregate)
The gulf between these two Lombardy giants can be seen in the league table, though Milan have held the upper hand this season and are fond of a fightback.
While they may have other priorities, disciplined Inter should still beat their arch-rivals for the first time in five attempts, helping them reach another Coppa Italia final.
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