Coppa Italia - Bologna VS AC Milan Prediction

Coppa Italia - Bologna VS AC Milan
Match Time:15-05-2025 03:00 Thursday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Bologna Review
Bologna, the Rossoblu, have reached the Coppa Italia final for the first time since 1974, a historic milestone under manager Vincenzo Italiano. In the 2024-25 season, they sit seventh in Serie A with 62 points, showing resilience despite a mid-season dip. Their Coppa Italia campaign was impressive: a 4-0 rout of Monza, a 1-0 upset over Atalanta, and a 5-1 aggregate win against Empoli in the semi-finals. Riccardo Orsolini has been pivotal, scoring in key matches, while Thijs Dallinga’s brace against Empoli highlighted their attacking depth. Bologna’s defensive solidity is notable, conceding just one goal in four Coppa Italia games. However, injuries to Dan Ndoye, Emil Holm, and Jens Odgaard may weaken their lineup, and recent form (W1-D2-L2 in last five) suggests inconsistency, with only one win in their last six Serie A matches. Their away form is a concern, failing to score in their last two road games.
AC Milan Review
AC Milan, the Rossoneri, are chasing their sixth Coppa Italia title and first since 2003, motivated to salvage a disappointing 2024-25 Serie A season (eighth place, 60 points). Under Sergio Conceição, Milan have found late-season form, winning four straight domestic matches, including a 3-1 comeback against Bologna on May 9, 2025. Their Coppa Italia run included a 6-1 thrashing of Sassuolo, a 3-1 win over Roma, and a semi-final triumph against Inter Milan. Santiago Giménez (brace vs Bologna) and Christian Pulisic (17 goals this season) lead a potent attack, with Rafael Leão returning from suspension. Milan’s comeback ability is unmatched, earning 22 points from losing positions in Serie A. However, injuries to Youssouf Fofana, Fikayo Tomori, Warren Bondo, and Riccardo Sottil pose risks. Form: WWWWL.
Head to Head
Bologna and AC Milan have met 43 times since 2003 across all competitions, with Milan dominating: 27 wins, Bologna 6 wins, 10 draws. In Coppa Italia, Milan lead 6-4 in 14 meetings. Recent encounters:
May 9, 2025 (Serie A, San Siro): Milan 3-1 Bologna (Giménez x2, Pulisic; Orsolini). Milan staged a late comeback.
February 27, 2025 (Serie A, Stadio Dall’Ara): Bologna 2-1 Milan (Castro, Ndoye; Leão). Bologna ended a 17-game winless streak against Milan.
January 27, 2024 (Serie A, San Siro): Milan 2-2 Bologna (Loftus-Cheek x2; Zirkzee, Orsolini). Average goals per match: 2.72, with 56% of games seeing both teams score. Milan have won three of the last five H2H games, but Bologna’s February win shows they can compete.
Nowgoal Prediction: AC Milan 2-1 Bologna.
Milan enter the Coppa Italia final on May 14, 2025, at Stadio Olimpico as favorites, buoyed by their recent 3-1 win over Bologna and superior attacking form (1.75 goals per match vs Bologna’s 1.53). Pulisic and Giménez are in top form, and Leão’s return adds dynamism. Bologna’s defensive resilience (one goal conceded in Coppa Italia) and Orsolini’s flair make them dangerous, but injuries and poor away form (no goals in last two away games) tilt the scales. Milan’s comeback prowess and trophy-winning experience should edge out Bologna in a close, high-stakes final. Expect Milan to capitalize late, possibly via Pulisic or Giménez, with Bologna scoring through Orsolini or Dallinga.
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