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ASEAN Club Championship - Cong An Ha Noi VS Buriram United Prediction

ASEAN Club Championship - Cong An Ha Noi VS Buriram United Prediction
ASEAN Club Championship  -  Cong An Ha Noi VS Buriram United
Match Time:14-05-2025 20:30 Wednesday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips

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Công An Hà Nội Review
Công An Hà Nội FC (CAHN), the 2023 V.League 1 champions, have emerged as a force in their first international campaign, the 2024-25 ASEAN Club Championship (Shopee Cup). Coached by Mano Polking, a former Thailand national team manager, CAHN topped Group B with a perfect record of five wins, scoring 15 goals and conceding five. Their semi-final victory over PSM Makassar (2-1 aggregate, including a 2-0 second-leg win) showcased their resilience after a 1-0 first-leg loss. Key players include Vietnam internationals Nguyen Quang Hai and Phan Van Duc, alongside Brazilian striker Alan Grafite, who scored the decisive goal in their group-stage win over Buriram. CAHN’s home form at Hang Day Stadium is formidable, with a partisan crowd expected for the final’s first leg on May 14, 2025. Recent form (W4-D1-L1) reflects confidence, but a 0-3 loss to Quang Nam on May 5 exposed defensive frailties. Their high possession (56.6%) and attacking output (12 shots per game) make them dangerous, though injuries, notably to Doan Van Hau (heel), may impact their backline.

Buriram United Review
Buriram United, Thailand’s record 11-time Thai League 1 champions, are Southeast Asia’s dominant club, chasing a historic quadruple (Thai League 1, FA Cup, League Cup, Shopee Cup). Under Osmar Loss, they secured a 3-1 aggregate semi-final win over BG Pathum United (3-1 first leg, 0-0 second leg). Despite a group-stage loss to CAHN, Buriram finished second in Group B, scoring 8 goals in their last two Thai League 1 matches. Guilherme Bissoli (25 goals in 30 matches) is their talisman, supported by Supachai Chaided and Theerathon Bunmathan (9 assists). Their 3-4-3 formation emphasizes attacking flair and individual brilliance, with Bissoli’s 30-yard stunner against BGPU a highlight. Recent form (W4-D1-L0) is impeccable, and their squad depth (valued at €13.25M) is unmatched, though Suphanat Mueanta’s injury is a concern. Buriram’s experience in big matches, including AFC Champions League Elite quarter-finals, gives them an edge.

Head to Head
CAHN and Buriram met once in the Shopee Cup group stage:

August 22, 2024 (Group B, Hang Day Stadium): Công An Hà Nội 2-1 Buriram United. Phan Van Duc scored in the 3rd minute, Jefferson Tabinas equalized (49th), and Alan Grafite’s header (66th) sealed the win for CAHN. CAHN capitalized on early pressure and a late set-piece, while Buriram hit the woodwork and were denied by Filip Nguyen’s reflex save. No other competitive matches are recorded. The game averaged 3.0 goals, with CAHN’s high-pressing style disrupting Buriram’s rotated squad. Buriram’s coach Osmar Loss noted their improved strength since, suggesting a different approach in the final.

Nowgoal Prediction: Công An Hà Nội 1-2 Buriram United.
The first leg of the Shopee Cup final on May 14, 2025, at Hang Day Stadium pits CAHN’s home advantage and attacking verve against Buriram’s experience and firepower. CAHN’s 2-1 group-stage win gives them psychological belief, bolstered by Polking’s familiarity with Buriram’s players from his Thailand tenure. However, Buriram’s current form, deeper squad, and Bissoli’s lethal finishing make them slight favorites. CAHN’s injury concerns (Van Hau) and occasional defensive lapses could be exploited by Buriram’s 3-4-3, which thrives on width and quick transitions. Expect a tight, high-intensity match with both teams scoring, but Buriram’s big-match pedigree may secure a narrow lead ahead of the second leg.  Bissoli or Supachai likely to score, with CAHN responding via Grafite or Quang Hai.
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