11th Aug. Argentine Division 1 - Defensa Y Justicia VS Deportivo Riestra Prediction
Argentine Division 1 - Defensa Y Justicia VS Deportivo Riestra
Match Time:12-08-2025 06:00 Tuesday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Defensa y Justicia
Defensa y Justicia, coached by Mariano Soso, is 6th in Group A of the Clausura phase with 4 points from 3 matches (1 win, 1 draw, 1 loss). Their recent form includes a 2-1 loss to Central Córdoba on July 28, 2025, with 61% possession and four shots on target, averaging 1.0 goal scored and 0.7 goals conceded per game in the Clausura. Key players include César Pérez (2 goals), Juan Miritello, and Aaron Molinas, with a probable 5-4-1 lineup: Bologna; Cannavo, Ferreira, Fernandez, Aguilera, Soto; Molinas, Pérez, Gutiérrez, Barbona; Osorio. Strengths include home form at Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello (sold out, 20,000 capacity) and possession play (52.9% average), but the suspension of Rafael Delgado is a concern. They aim to leverage their home advantage and H2H edge against Riestra.
Deportivo Riestra
Deportivo Riestra, led by Gustavo Benítez, is 2nd in Group B with 6 points from 3 matches (2 wins, 1 loss). They recently lost 3-0 to Racing Club in the Copa Argentina on August 3, 2025, but won 1-0 against Atlético Tucumán in the league, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.0 goal conceded in the Clausura. Key players include Jonathan Herrera (3 goals), Milton Celiz, and Antony Alonso, with a probable 3-5-2 lineup: Arce; Barbieri, Miño, Paz; Sansotre, Goitia, Guille, Celiz, Gallo; Alonso, Herrera. Strengths include a disciplined defense (0.9 goals conceded per game) and counter-attacking style, but injuries to Nicolas Caro and doubts over Alan Barrionuevo, plus a poor away record (no wins in 2 league away games), are issues. They aim to frustrate Defensa with their compact setup.
Head-to-Head
Defensa y Justicia and Deportivo Riestra have met three times since 2024, all ending in 1-1 draws (February 9, November 18, and February 26, 2025). Matches average 2.0 goals, with 100% BTTS and 0% over 2.5 goals. Defensa have scored 3 goals, and Riestra 3, showing a balanced rivalry. Defensa are unbeaten at home against Riestra (2 draws).
Predicted Score: Defensa y Justicia 1-0 Deportivo Riestra
This Matchweek 4 interzonal clash on August 11, 2025, at Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello, Florencio Varela, at 7:00 PM ART (6:00 PM EDT), is a sell-out, broadcast on ESPN Argentina Premium and streamed on Star+ and Sofascore. Defensa’s Pérez and Osorio face Riestra’s Herrera and Alonso, with Defensa’s home strength tested by Riestra’s defensive solidity. Defensa are favorites (+112 odds) over Riestra (+270), with a draw at +220. Trends (Defensa: 4/6 under 2.5 goals; Riestra: 4/6 over 2.5 goals) and H2H suggest a low-scoring game, with betting tips favoring under 2.5 goals (-263) and BTTS-No (-200). Cards may be issued in the 18°C evening if Riestra’s physicality escalates, refereed by Fernando Espinoza with Lucas Novelli on VAR. Defensa is likely to score through Pérez, with Riestra struggling to convert due to Defensa’s home defensive record. Defensa’s possession play and H2H edge should secure a narrow win, though Riestra’s compact defense keeps it tight.
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