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16th Aug. Spanish La Liga - Alaves VS Levante Prediction
Spanish La Liga - Alaves VS Levante
Match Time:17-08-2025 03:30 Sunday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Deportivo Alavés
Alavés, coached by Eduardo Coudet, finished 15th last season, avoiding relegation by two points. Their pre-season ended with a 0-0 draw against Eibar on August 9, 2025, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 0.6 goals conceded in five friendlies. Key players include Luis Rioja, Jon Guridi, and new signing Carles Aleñá, with a probable 4-2-3-1 lineup: Sivera; Jonny, Garcés, Sedlar, Duarte; Blanco, Ibáñez; Vicente, Aleñá, Guridi; Mariano. Alavés’s strengths are their home record (unbeaten in last four La Liga home games, three clean sheets) and H2H dominance over Levante (5 wins in 9 home games this century). However, their lack of goals (0 in last three friendlies) and Moussa Diarra’s doubtful status (broken nose) are concerns. They aim to break a four-season streak of losing their opening match, as noted by Sportskeeda.
Levante
Levante, led by Julián Calero, returns to La Liga after winning the 2024-25 Segunda Division. They concluded pre-season with a 2-0 win over Auxerre on August 9, 2025, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 0.4 goals conceded in five friendlies, with four consecutive competitive wins. Key players include José Luis Morales, Mohamed Bouldini, and Pepelu, with a probable 4-5-1 lineup: Cárdenas; Muñoz, Postigo, Duarte, Pampín; Pepelu, Martínez, Rey, Lozano, Brugué; Bouldini. Levante’s strengths are their defensive solidity (three clean sheets in last five competitive games) and counter-attacking pace, but injuries to Jon Olasagasti, Kervin Arriaga, Alfonso Pastor, and registration issues for new signings (only three players registered as of August 14, 2025) are major hurdles. They aim to build on their five-game unbeaten streak and upset Alavés, despite a poor H2H record.
Head-to-Head
The sports card details 32 meetings, with Alavés leading 17-9, and 6 draws. Recent La Liga results include Alavés’s 2-1 win (November 6, 2021) and Levante’s 3-1 win (May 15, 2022). Their last competitive meeting was the 2023 Segunda Division playoff final, where Alavés won 1-0 on aggregate. Matches average 2.3 goals, with 30% over 2.5 goals and 40% both teams scoring (BTTS). Alavés have lost only once at home to Levante in the 21st century (5 wins, 3 draws), giving them a strong historical edge at Mendizorroza.
Predicted Score: Deportivo Alavés 1-0 Levante
Alavés’s Rioja and Guridi face Levante’s Bouldini and Morales, with Alavés’s home advantage tested by Levante’s defensive form and counter-attacking threat. Alavés are favorites (2.25 odds, 45% win probability) over Levante (3.50), with a draw at 3.10, per Bet365. Trends (Alavés: 100% under 2.5 goals in last 10 league games; Levante: 50% under 2.5 goals) and H2H suggest a low-scoring game, with betting tips favoring Alavés to win (2.25) and under 2.5 goals (1.67). Cards are likely in the 22°C evening, with Alavés’s 10 fouls and Levante’s 8 per game suggesting 3-4 cards. Alavés aim to capitalize on their home record, while Levante seek a point on their La Liga return. Alavés is likely to score through Rioja or Guridi, with Levante’s injury-hit squad and registration issues limiting their attack. Alavés’s home strength and H2H dominance should secure a narrow win, aligning with BetClan’s 2-0 prediction and their historical edge at Mendizorroza. Levante’s defensive solidity may keep it close, but their lack of attacking options tilts the balance.
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