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2nd Sep. EFL Trophy---Lincoln City VS Notts County Prediction
EFL Trophy - Lincoln City VS Notts County
Match Time:03-09-2025 02:00 Wednesday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Team Reviews
Lincoln City are entering this EFL Trophy Northern Group H opener at LNER Stadium with a solid start to their 2025/26 League One campaign, sitting ninth with 11 points from six matches (three wins, two draws, one loss). Their recent form includes a gritty 1-1 draw against Mansfield Town, despite playing with 10 men for an hour after Sonny Bradley’s red card, showcasing their defensive resilience, per. At home, Lincoln are unbeaten in their last three matches, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game. Manager Michael Skubala may rotate his squad, but with Bradley suspended, Thomas Hamer and Adam Jackson will anchor the defense in a 4-2-3-1, with Robert Street and Zane Okoro likely to lead the attack. The home crowd will push Lincoln to build on their EFL Trophy second-place group finish last season.
Notts County, 13th in League Two with eight points from six matches, are coming off a strong 2-1 away win over Tranmere Rovers, where a second-half comeback highlighted their attacking flair, per. Their recent form shows two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five, scoring eight goals but conceding seven, with a league-high 11 goals scored but nine conceded, exposing defensive frailties. Away form is patchy, with one win in their last three road games. No major injuries are reported, so manager Martin Paterson will likely field a 4-3-3, relying on Alassana Jatta and Nick Tsaroulla to exploit counters. Notts County’s failure to advance from their EFL Trophy group last season adds motivation, but Lincoln’s home strength poses a challenge.
Head to Head
Lincoln City dominate recent encounters, winning four of the last six against Notts County, with two losses and no draws, per. Their most recent clash was a 2-0 Lincoln win in the EFL Trophy on November 7, 2023, at LNER Stadium, with Jack Burroughs and Jack Vale scoring, per. Lincoln also won 2-0 in a League One match in January 2025. At LNER Stadium, Lincoln are unbeaten in their last three against Notts County (three wins), including a 2-1 victory in November 2017. Matches average 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in three of the last six. Notts County’s last win over Lincoln was a 4-2 League Two result in February 2019, but Lincoln’s home dominance in this fixture gives them a clear edge.
Prediction
Lincoln City’s strong home form, defensive solidity, and historical dominance make them favorites against a Notts County side with defensive vulnerabilities. I predict a 2-1 win for Lincoln City, with Street or Okoro likely scoring, though Notts County could nick a goal via Jatta on the counter. Lincoln’s win probability is around 66%, reflecting their home record and head-to-head advantage. Expect Lincoln to control possession (around 53%) and corners (8-10 projected), with Notts County’s pace on the break keeping it competitive. The game should see both teams pushing for set pieces, given Lincoln’s 2.5 corners per game and Notts County’s recent attacking output.
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