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10th Sep. Copa do Brasil---Fluminense RJ VS Bahia Prediction
Copa do Brasil - Fluminense RJ VS Bahia
Match Time:11-09-2025 06:00 Thursday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Team Reviews
Fluminense RJ are entering this Copa do Brasil 2025 Quarter-final second leg match at the Maracanã Stadium in Rio de Janeiro trailing 1-0 from the first leg. Their recent form in the Brasileirão and Copa do Brasil shows two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches, scoring five goals and conceding six, averaging 1.0 goal scored and 1.2 conceded per game. At home, Fluminense are formidable, unbeaten in their last four competitive matches, with goalkeeper Fábio keeping one clean sheet. Coach Mano Menezes’ 4-2-3-1 relies on Thiago Silva’s defensive leadership and Germán Cano’s finishing (one goal in qualifiers). No major injuries are reported, so Fluminense will leverage their passionate home crowd to overturn the deficit, aiming for a two-goal victory to advance or force penalties with a one-goal win.
Bahia lead the tie after a 1-0 first-leg victory at Arena Fonte Nova, where Luciano Juba scored in the 86th minute. Their recent form is strong, with three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five, scoring seven goals and conceding three, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game. Away from home, they’ve been resilient, winning one of their last three road games, including a 2-1 victory at Corinthians in the Brasileirão. Coach Rogério Ceni’s 4-2-3-1 depends on Éverton Ribeiro’s creativity and Luciano Rodríguez’s pace. No major injuries are noted, but Bahia will need to stay compact to protect their lead and counter Fluminense’s home pressure, aiming to advance to the semi-finals for the first time.
Head to Head
Fluminense and Bahia have met five times since 2023, with Bahia winning two, Fluminense one, and two draws. Their most recent clash was the first leg on August 28, 2025, where Bahia won 1-0, with Juba scoring, assisted by Jean Lucas. Earlier in 2025, they drew 3-3 in the Brasileirão at Arena Fonte Nova. At the Maracanã, Fluminense won 1-0 in August 2024, giving them a slight home edge. Matches average 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% of encounters, per historical data. Bahia’s first-leg win gives them confidence, but Fluminense’s home record against Bahia (two wins, one draw in three) suggests a tight contest.
Prediction
Fluminense’s strong home form and urgency to overturn the 1-0 deficit make them slight favorites, but Bahia’s defensive resilience and counter-attacking threat keep this competitive. I predict a 2-0 win for Fluminense, with Cano or Kevin Serna likely scoring, while Fábio keeps a clean sheet to advance on aggregate. Fluminense’s win probability is around 65%, reflecting their Maracanã strength and Bahia’s mixed away form. Expect Fluminense to dominate possession (around 55%) and corners (8-10 projected), with Bahia’s counters through Rodríguez posing a threat. The game should see Fluminense’s wingers exploit Bahia’s flanks, building on their 1-0 2024 home win, for a hard-fought victory to reach the semi-finals.
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