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11th Sep. Copa do Brasil---Cruzeiro VS Atletico Mineiro Prediction
Copa do Brasil - Cruzeiro VS Atletico Mineiro
Match Time:12-09-2025 06:30 Friday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Team Reviews
Cruzeiro are entering this Copa do Brasil 2025 Quarter-final second leg match at Mineirão Stadium in Belo Horizonte trailing 2-0 from the first leg, where they won 2-0 away at Atlético-MG on August 27, 2025, with goals from Fabrício Bruno and Kaio Jorge. Their recent form in the Brasileirão and Copa do Brasil shows three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches, scoring seven goals and conceding three, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game. At home, Cruzeiro are strong, unbeaten in their last four competitive matches, with goalkeeper Cássio keeping two clean sheets. Coach Fernando Seabra’s 4-2-3-1 relies on Matheus Pereira’s creativity (one assist in the first leg) and Kaio Jorge’s finishing. No major injuries are reported, so Cruzeiro will leverage their passionate home crowd to defend their lead, needing only a draw or better to advance to the semi-finals.
Atlético Mineiro face an uphill battle to overturn the 2-0 deficit, sitting mid-table in the Brasileirão. Their recent form includes two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five, scoring six goals and conceding five, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. Away form is a concern, with no wins in their last three road games, including a 2-0 loss at Bahia. Coach Gabriel Milito’s 4-4-2 depends on Hulk’s experience (two goals in the Brasileirão) and Gustavo Scarpa’s flair. No major injuries are noted, but Atlético will need to attack aggressively while staying compact to counter Cruzeiro’s home pressure, aiming for a three-goal win to advance or a two-goal win to force penalties.
Head to Head
Cruzeiro hold a slight historical edge over Atlético Mineiro, winning two of their last five meetings, with Atlético winning one and two draws. The first leg on August 27, 2025, saw Cruzeiro win 2-0 at Arena MRV, with Fabrício Bruno (50’) and Kaio Jorge (64’) scoring, assisted by Lucas Romero and Fabrício Bruno, respectively. Other recent clashes include a 0-0 draw in the 2025 Brasileirão on May 18, 2025, and a 2-0 Atlético win in February 2025. At Mineirão, Cruzeiro are unbeaten against Atlético in their last three meetings (two wins, one draw). Matches average 1.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 20% of encounters, suggesting a tight, potentially low-scoring game. Cruzeiro’s first-leg victory and home record give them a psychological edge.
Prediction
Cruzeiro’s 2-0 first-leg lead, strong home form, and historical edge at Mineirão make them favorites to advance, while Atlético Mineiro’s need to chase a three-goal deficit could expose their defense. I predict a 1-0 win for Cruzeiro (3-0 aggregate), with Kaio Jorge or Gabriel Barbosa likely scoring, while Cássio keeps a clean sheet. Cruzeiro’s win probability is around 65%, reflecting their unbeaten home run and Atlético’s winless away streak. Expect Cruzeiro to control possession (around 52%) and corners (6-8 projected), with Atlético’s counters through Hulk posing a moderate threat. The game should see Cruzeiro’s midfield, led by Pereira, stifle Atlético’s attack, building on their 2-0 first-leg win, for a narrow victory to reach the semi-finals.
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