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16th Sep. England League Cup---Crystal Palace VS Millwall Prediction
England League Cup - Crystal Palace VS Millwall
Match Time:17-09-2025 03:00 Wednesday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Team Reviews
Crystal Palace are entering this England League Cup (Carabao Cup) Third Round match at Selhurst Park on September 16, 2025, in strong form, sitting 5th in the Premier League with 7 points from four matches (2 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss). Their recent form shows two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches across all competitions, including a 0-0 draw against Sunderland and a 4-1 league win over Aston Villa. They’ve scored eight goals and conceded two in the Premier League, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game. At home, Palace are unbeaten in their last five competitive matches, with goalkeeper Walter Benítez keeping two clean sheets. Coach Oliver Glasner’s 3-4-2-1 relies on Eberechi Eze’s creativity and Jean-Philippe Mateta’s finishing (one goal this season). Injuries to Adam Wharton, Caleb Kporha, Chadi Riad, Cheick Doucouré, Eddie Nketiah, and Ismaila Sarr are concerns, but Mateta is expected to return from a head injury. Palace will leverage their passionate home crowd in this South London derby to press high and dominate Millwall, aiming to advance to the Fourth Round.
Millwall are in a mixed position, sitting 13th in the Championship with 7 points from five matches (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses). Their recent form includes two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five, with a 2-1 League Cup win over Coventry and a 1-1 draw against Charlton. They’ve scored six goals and conceded five, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. Away form is inconsistent, with one win in their last three road games (2-1 at Exeter). Coach Neil Harris’s 4-4-2 depends on Massimo Luongo’s midfield control and Josh Coburn’s finishing. Injuries to Alfie Doughty, Benicio Baker-Boaitey, Billy Mitchell, Casper De Norre, Femi Azeez, Dan McNamara, Lukas Jensen, and Will Smallbone weaken their squad. Millwall will need to stay compact and rely on counters to challenge Palace’s home intensity in this fierce rivalry, aiming to cause an upset.
Head to Head
Crystal Palace hold a strong historical edge over Millwall, unbeaten in their last eight meetings (5 wins, 3 draws). Their most recent clash was a 3-1 Palace win on March 1, 2025, in the FA Cup at Selhurst Park, with an own goal by Japhet Tanganga (33’), Daniel Muñoz (40’), and Eddie Nketiah (81’) securing the victory, despite Wes Harding’s reply for Millwall. At Selhurst Park, Palace have won their last four against Millwall, including a 2-1 FA Cup win in January 2022. Matches average 2.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of recent encounters, suggesting a competitive game. Palace’s 3-1 FA Cup win and unbeaten run give them a psychological edge, but Millwall’s 1-1 draw in a 2024 friendly shows they can compete in this derby.
Prediction
Crystal Palace’s superior form, home dominance, and depth make them clear favorites, despite injuries, against a Millwall side hampered by absences and inconsistent away form. I predict a 2-0 win for Crystal Palace, with Eze or Mateta likely scoring, while Benítez keeps a clean sheet. Palace’s win probability is around 65%, reflecting their unbeaten home run and Millwall’s depleted squad. Expect Palace to dominate possession (around 55%) and corners (8-10 projected), with Millwall’s counters posing a limited threat due to their injury crisis. The game should see Palace’s wing-backs exploit Millwall’s flanks, building on their 3-1 FA Cup win, for a comfortable victory to advance in the Carabao Cup.
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