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17th Sep. England FA Cup---Woodford Town VS Bury Town Prediction
England FA Cup - Woodford Town VS Bury Town
Match Time:18-09-2025 02:45 Thursday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Team Reviews
Woodford Town are entering this England FA Cup Second Qualifying Round replay match at Ashton Playing Fields on September 17, 2025, in solid form, sitting top of the Essex Senior League (Step 5) with an unbeaten start (4 wins, 0 draws). Their recent form shows three wins and two draws in their last five matches across all competitions, including a 1-1 draw at Bury Town in the initial FA Cup Second Qualifying Round match on September 13, 2025, and a 3-2 win over Newmarket Town in the First Qualifying Round. They’ve scored eight goals and conceded four, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game. At home, Woodford are strong, winning their last three competitive matches, with goalkeeper Charlie Mann keeping one clean sheet. Coach Mark Nelson’s 4-4-2 relies on Luke Parrott’s finishing and Josh Steele’s midfield energy. No major injuries are reported, so Woodford will leverage their home crowd to press high and exploit Bury’s defense, aiming to advance to the Third Qualifying Round for the first time in their history.
Bury Town are in decent form, sitting 8th in the Southern League Premier Division Central (Step 3) with 8 points from five matches (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss). Their recent form includes two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five, with a 3-2 FA Cup First Qualifying Round win over Brightlingsea Regent and the 1-1 draw against Woodford Town. They’ve scored seven goals and conceded six, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Away form is mixed, with one win in their last three road games, including a 2-0 victory at Stamford. Coach Paul Musgrove’s 4-3-3 depends on George Quantrell’s finishing (two goals in the FA Cup) and Ethan Mayhew’s wing play. No major injuries are noted, but Bury will need to stay compact to counter Woodford’s home intensity, aiming to reach the Third Qualifying Round for the first time since 2020.
Head to Head
The teams met recently in the FA Cup Second Qualifying Round on September 13, 2025, at Bury Town’s Getaway Cars Stadium, resulting in a 1-1 draw, forcing this replay. No specific goal scorers or match details are available from that game, but it highlights a competitive balance. Historically, there’s no other recent competitive data between the two, as Woodford Town are a lower-tier side. Matches involving Bury Town average 2.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% of their recent games, while Woodford’s games average 2.4 goals, suggesting a potentially open contest. Bury’s higher league status (two tiers above) gives them a slight edge, but Woodford’s resilience in the draw and home form make this a close call.
Prediction
Woodford’s strong home form and unbeaten league start make them competitive, but Bury’s higher-tier experience and attacking output give them a slight advantage. I predict a 2-1 win for Bury Town, with Quantrell or Mayhew likely scoring, while Parrott could nick a goal for Woodford on a counter. Bury’s win probability is around 55%, reflecting their 3-2 Brightlingsea win and Woodford’s draw-forcing resilience. Expect Bury to edge possession (around 51%) and corners (6-8 projected), with Woodford’s counters posing a moderate threat. The game should see Bury’s wingers exploit Woodford’s flanks, building on their 2-0 Stamford win, for a narrow victory to advance to the Third Qualifying Round, where they’ll face St Albans City.
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