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21st Sep. Spanish La Liga---Mallorca VS Atletico Madrid Prediction
Spanish La Liga - Mallorca VS Atletico Madrid
Match Time:21-09-2025 22:15 Sunday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Team Reviews
Mallorca are entering this Spanish La Liga Matchday 5 match at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix on September 21, 2025, in a challenging position, sitting 19th with 1 point from four matches (0 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses). Their recent form shows one draw and three losses in their last four league matches, including a 3-2 loss at Espanyol and a 1-1 draw against Celta Vigo. They’ve scored four goals and conceded nine, averaging 1.0 goal scored and 2.3 conceded per game. At home, Mallorca are winless in their last two league games, losing 3-0 to Barcelona. Coach Jagoba Arrasate’s 4-4-2 relies on Vedat Muriqi’s finishing (three goals, including a penalty at Espanyol) and Sergi Darder’s midfield creativity. No major injuries are reported, but discipline is a concern after two red cards against Barcelona. Mallorca will leverage their home crowd to press high and exploit Atlético’s inconsistent defense, desperate for their first win to climb out of the relegation zone.
Atlético Madrid are in a mixed spell, sitting 11th with 5 points from four matches (1 win, 2 draws, 1 loss). Their recent form includes one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five across all competitions, with a 2-0 league win over Villarreal but a 3-2 loss to Liverpool in the UEFA Champions League on September 16, 2025. They’ve scored five goals and conceded four in La Liga, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. Away form is shaky, with no wins in their last three road games, including a 1-1 draw at Alavés. Coach Diego Simeone’s 4-4-2 depends on Antoine Griezmann’s creativity (three goals against Mallorca historically) and Conor Gallagher’s energy. Injuries to José María Giménez (doubtful, muscle) are a concern, but Julián Álvarez and Thiago Almada are back. Atlético will aim to stay compact and counter Mallorca’s pressure, seeking to build on their recent league win.
Head to Head
Atlético Madrid hold a strong historical edge, leading 13-9 with nine draws in 31 matches against Mallorca since 2003. Their most recent meeting was a 2-0 Atlético win on February 1, 2025, at home, with goals from Samuel Lino (26’) and Griezmann (90’+3). At Mallorca’s ground, Atlético won 1-0 on November 10, 2024, via Julián Álvarez (61’). Mallorca’s last home win over Atlético was a 1-0 result in 2022. Matches average 2.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 45% of encounters, and Atlético keeping clean sheets in their last five meetings (8-1 aggregate). Atlético’s recent dominance, especially their 1-0 away win last season, gives them a psychological edge, but Mallorca’s grit at home (4-4 in shots on target in the 2024 loss) keeps this competitive.
Prediction
Atlético’s better form and historical dominance make them favorites, but Mallorca’s home resilience and desperation for points suggest a tight contest. I predict a 1-1 draw, with Muriqi likely scoring for Mallorca and Griezmann or Álvarez replying for Atlético on a counter. Atlético’s win-or-draw probability is around 55%, reflecting their 2-0 Villarreal win and Mallorca’s 3-2 Espanyol loss. Expect Atlético to edge possession (around 51%) and corners (6-8 projected), with Mallorca’s counters posing a moderate threat. The game should see Mallorca’s wingers test Atlético’s flanks, while Atlético’s experience secures a point, mirroring their low-scoring recent clashes.
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