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21st Sep. German Bundesliga---Bayer Leverkusen VS Borussia Monchengladbach Prediction
German Bundesliga - Bayer Leverkusen VS Borussia Monchengladbach
Match Time:21-09-2025 23:30 Sunday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Team Reviews
Bayer Leverkusen are entering this German Bundesliga Matchday 4 clash at BayArena on September 21, 2025, in decent form, sitting 10th with 4 points from three matches (1 win, 1 draw, 1 loss). Their recent form shows two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches across all competitions, including a 3-1 league win over Eintracht Frankfurt and a 2-2 UEFA Champions League draw against Copenhagen. They’ve scored seven goals and conceded five in the Bundesliga, averaging 2.3 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game. At home, Leverkusen are solid, winning their last league match (3-1 vs. Frankfurt), with goalkeeper Mark Flekken keeping one clean sheet this season. Coach Kasper Hjulmand’s 4-2-3-1 relies on Patrik Schick’s finishing (three goals in 2025) and Alejandro Grimaldo’s flair (one UCL goal). Injuries to Martin Terrier (Achilles), Exequiel Palacios (groin), Jonas Hofmann (muscle), and Nathan Tella (muscle), plus suspensions for Robert Andrich and Equi Fernández, weaken their squad. Leverkusen will leverage their home crowd to press high and exploit Gladbach’s defensive frailties, aiming to build on their recent dominance in this fixture.
Borussia Mönchengladbach are struggling, sitting 16th with 1 point from three matches (0 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses). Their recent form includes one draw and four losses in their last five, with a 4-0 league loss to Werder Bremen and a 0-0 draw against Hamburger SV. They’ve yet to score in the Bundesliga, conceding five goals, averaging 0.0 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game. Away form is poor, with no wins in their last three road games, including a 1-0 loss at Stuttgart. Caretaker coach Eugen Polanski’s 4-2-3-1 depends on Philipp Sander’s midfield energy and Robin Hack’s wing play. Injuries to Tim Kleindienst (knee), Nathan Ngoumou (Achilles), and doubts over Wael Mohya (knee) and Niklas Swider (illness) limit their options. Gladbach, winless in their last 10 league matches, will aim to stay compact and counter Leverkusen’s intensity, seeking their first goal and win.
Head to Head
Leverkusen dominate recent meetings, winning four of their last five against Gladbach (one draw), including a 3-1 home win on January 18, 2025 (Florian Wirtz scoring twice), and a 2-3 away win on August 23, 2024. At BayArena, Leverkusen are unbeaten in their last five home games against Gladbach (three wins, two draws), with a 2-2 draw in May 2023 being the closest result. Matches average 3.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% of encounters, suggesting a potentially open game. Leverkusen’s recent form in this fixture (10 goals scored in last three home wins) gives them a psychological edge, but Gladbach’s resilience in their 0-0 draw against Hamburg hints at potential stubbornness.
Prediction
Leverkusen’s home strength, attacking output, and historical dominance make them clear favorites, despite injuries, against a Gladbach side that hasn’t scored and is reeling from a coaching change. I predict a 3-1 win for Leverkusen, with Schick or Grimaldo likely scoring, and Hack or Giovanni Reyna possibly replying for Gladbach on a counter. Leverkusen’s win probability is around 65%, reflecting their 3-1 Frankfurt win and Gladbach’s 4-0 Bremen loss. Expect Leverkusen to dominate possession (around 55%) and corners (8-10 projected), with Gladbach’s counters posing a limited threat. The game should see Leverkusen’s wingers exploit Gladbach’s flanks, building on their 3-1 January win, for a comfortable victory to climb the Bundesliga table.
From:Preview
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