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23rd Sep. Spanish La Liga---Athletic Bilbao VS Girona Prediction
Spanish La Liga - Athletic Bilbao VS Girona
Match Time:24-09-2025 01:00 Wednesday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Team Reviews
Athletic Bilbao are entering this Spanish La Liga Matchday 6 clash at San Mamés Stadium on September 23, 2025, in decent form, sitting 4th with 7 points from five matches (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses). Their recent form shows two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches across all competitions, including a 2-1 league win over Valencia and a 2-0 UEFA Champions League loss to Anderlecht on September 18, 2025. They’ve scored six goals and conceded five in La Liga, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. At home, Bilbao are strong, winning their last two league matches (2-1 vs. Valencia, 3-0 vs. Girona on February 8, 2025), with goalkeeper Unai Simón keeping one clean sheet. Coach Ernesto Valverde’s 4-2-3-1 relies on Iñaki Williams’ pace (two goals) and Oihan Sancet’s finishing (three goals in the 3-0 win). Injuries to Nico Williams (ankle), Dani Vivian (suspended), and Álex Padilla (suspended) are concerns, but Gorka Guruzeta is back. Bilbao will leverage their passionate Basque crowd to press high and exploit Girona’s shaky defense, aiming to repeat their February rout.
Girona are struggling, sitting 20th with 1 point from five matches (0 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses). Their recent form includes one draw and four losses in their last five, with a 4-0 league loss to Levante and a 1-1 draw against Celta Vigo. They’ve scored two goals and conceded 12, averaging 0.4 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game. Away form is poor, with no wins in their last five road games, including a 2-1 loss to Athletic Bilbao on October 6, 2024. Coach Míchel’s 5-3-2 depends on Cristhian Stuani’s finishing (one goal, penalty vs. Bilbao) and Iván Martín’s creativity. Injuries to Viktor Tsygankov (knee), David López (muscle), and Ricard Artero (ankle), plus suspensions for Vitor Reis and Axel Witsel, weaken their squad. Girona will aim to stay compact and counter Bilbao’s intensity, desperate for points to climb out of the relegation zone.
Head to Head
Athletic Bilbao hold a slight edge, winning five of their 10 meetings with Girona since 2017 (Girona won four, one draw). At San Mamés, Bilbao have won three of their last five home games against Girona, including a 3-0 rout on February 8, 2025 (Sancet hat-trick) and a 3-2 win on February 19, 2024. Girona’s last win in Bilbao was a 3-2 result in 2023. Matches average 2.9 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% of encounters, suggesting a potentially open game. Bilbao’s recent home dominance (6-0 aggregate in their last two home wins vs. Girona) gives them a psychological edge, but Girona’s 2-1 win on October 6, 2024, shows they can compete. The sports card above details their full history, including a 1-1 draw at Girona on November 27, 2023.
Prediction
Bilbao’s strong home form, attacking depth, and historical edge at San Mamés make them clear favorites against a Girona side reeling from injuries, suspensions, and a goal-shy attack. I predict a 2-0 win for Bilbao, with Williams or Sancet likely scoring, and Simón keeping a clean sheet. Bilbao’s win probability is around 65%, reflecting their 3-0 February win and Girona’s 4-0 Levante loss. Expect Bilbao to dominate possession (around 54%) and corners (8-10 projected), with Girona’s counters posing a limited threat due to their depleted squad. The game should see Bilbao’s wingers exploit Girona’s flanks, building on their February rout, for a comfortable victory to stay in the top-four race.
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