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Predictions> Preview> England League Cup,Newcastle U...

24th Sep. England League Cup---Newcastle United VS Bradford City Prediciton

24th Sep. England League Cup---Newcastle United VS Bradford City Prediciton
England League Cup  -  Newcastle United VS Bradford City
Match Time:25-09-2025 02:45 Thursday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips

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Team Reviews
Newcastle United are entering this EFL Cup (Carabao Cup) third-round match at St. James’ Park on September 24, 2025, as defending champions, sitting 7th in the Premier League with 7 points from five matches (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses). Their recent form shows two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches across all competitions, including a 1-0 Premier League win over Wolverhampton Wanderers and a 1-2 UEFA Champions League loss to FC Barcelona on September 19, 2025. They’ve scored six goals and conceded five in the league, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. At home, Newcastle are strong, winning their last two league matches, with goalkeeper Nick Pope keeping one clean sheet. Coach Eddie Howe’s 4-3-3 will likely see rotation, featuring Martin Dúbravka, Tino Livramento, and Harvey Barnes. Injuries to Fabian Schär (doubtful, head), Joe Willock (hamstring), and Jamaal Lascelles (knee) are concerns, but Bruno Guimarães is available. Newcastle will leverage their passionate home crowd to press high and exploit Bradford’s defense, aiming to defend their title won last season with a 2-1 victory over Liverpool.

Bradford City are in excellent form, sitting 1st in League One with 19 points from nine matches (6 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses). Their recent form includes four wins and one loss in their last five, with a 3-1 League One win over Cardiff City and a 3-0 EFL Cup second-round victory against Stoke City. They’ve scored 15 goals and conceded six in League One, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game. Away form is strong, with three wins in their last four road games, including a 2-1 win at Blackburn Rovers. Coach Graham Alexander’s 4-2-3-1 relies on Bobby Pointon’s finishing (five goals) and Tommy Leigh’s creativity (two assists). No major injuries are reported, though Antoni Sarcevic is doubtful (fitness). Bradford will aim to stay compact and counter Newcastle’s intensity, seeking a giant-killing upset as they did against Stoke.

Head to Head
Newcastle hold a slight edge in their all-time Premier League record against Bradford, with a W2 D1 L1 record and a +1 goal differential, as per the sports card above. Recent meetings include a 4-0 Newcastle win in 2010, a 2-1 Newcastle win in 2000, and a 2-2 draw in 2001. At St. James’ Park, Newcastle won 2-0 in 2000 and drew 2-2 in 1999, but Bradford’s last visit ended in a 2-0 upset win in 1999. Matches average 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of encounters, suggesting a competitive game. Newcastle’s recent dominance (6-1 aggregate in last two home wins) gives them a psychological edge, but Bradford’s 1999 victory and current cup form keep them in contention for an upset.

Prediction
Newcastle’s superior quality and home advantage make them favorites, even with rotation, against a Bradford side thriving in League One but facing a significant step up. I predict a 3-1 Newcastle win, with Barnes or Anthony Gordon likely scoring, and Pointon possibly replying for Bradford on a counter or set piece. Newcastle’s win probability is around 65%, reflecting their 1-0 Wolves win and Bradford’s 3-1 Cardiff victory. Expect Newcastle to dominate possession (around 58%) and corners (8-10 projected), with Bradford’s counters posing a moderate threat. The game should see Newcastle’s wingers exploit Bradford’s flanks, building on their historical edge, for a comfortable victory to advance to the fourth round.
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