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25th Sep. Spanish La Liga---Osasuna VS Elche Prediction
Spanish La Liga - Osasuna VS Elche
Match Time:26-09-2025 01:30 Friday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Team Reviews
Osasuna are entering this Spanish La Liga Matchday 6 clash at Estadio El Sadar on September 25, 2025, in a challenging position, sitting 12th with 6 points from five matches (2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses). Their recent form shows two wins and three losses in their last five league matches, including a 2-1 loss at Villarreal on September 20, 2025, and a 1-0 win over Valencia. They’ve scored four goals and conceded four, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game. At home, Osasuna are strong, winning their last two league matches (2-0 vs. Rayo Vallecano, 1-0 vs. Valencia), with goalkeeper Sergio Herrera keeping two clean sheets. Coach Alessio Lisci’s 4-3-3 relies on Ante Budimir’s finishing (one goal) and Rubén García’s creativity (one assist). Injuries to Jon Moncayola (doubtful, knock) and Iker Muñoz (hamstring) are concerns, but Lucas Torró is available. Osasuna will leverage their passionate home crowd to press high and exploit Elche’s defensive vulnerabilities, aiming to build on their strong home record.
Elche are in better form, sitting 11th with 9 points from five matches (3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses). Their recent form includes three wins and two losses in their last five, with a 1-0 league win over Real Oviedo on September 21, 2025, and a 2-1 loss at Sevilla. They’ve scored five goals and conceded four, averaging 1.0 goal scored and 0.8 conceded per game. Away form is inconsistent, with one win in their last three road games (1-0 at Deportivo Alavés). Coach Eder Sarabia’s 4-2-3-1 depends on Rafa Mir’s finishing (three goals) and Aleix Febas’s midfield energy. Injuries to Álvaro Núñez (ankle) and Josán Fernández (doubtful, fitness) weaken their squad. Elche will aim to stay compact and counter Osasuna’s intensity, seeking to repeat their 2013 away win at El Sadar (2-1).
Head to Head
Osasuna hold a slight edge, winning five of their last 18 meetings with Elche (8 draws, 4 Elche wins), as detailed in the sports card above. Recent clashes include a 2-1 Osasuna win on April 8, 2023 (Abde Ezzalzouli scoring twice), a 1-1 draw on May 1, 2022, and a 1-1 draw on November 29, 2021. At El Sadar, Osasuna are unbeaten in their last six home games against Elche (three wins, three draws), including a 2-1 win in 2023 and a 2-0 win in 2021. Matches average 2.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of recent encounters, suggesting a competitive game. Osasuna’s home dominance gives them a psychological edge, but Elche’s recent scoring form (three goals in last two games) keeps them in contention.
Prediction
Osasuna’s strong home form and historical edge at El Sadar make them slight favorites against an Elche side with better league standing but inconsistent away performances. I predict a 2-1 Osasuna win, with Budimir or Rubén García likely scoring, and Rafa Mir possibly replying for Elche on a counter. Osasuna’s win probability is around 55%, reflecting their 2-0 Rayo Vallecano win and Elche’s 1-0 Oviedo victory. Expect Osasuna to edge possession (around 52%) and corners (6-8 projected), with Elche’s counters posing a moderate threat. The game should see Osasuna’s wingers exploit Elche’s flanks, building on their 2-1 2023 win, for a narrow victory to climb the La Liga table.
From:Preview
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