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25th Sep. Coppa Italia---Torino VS Pisa Prediction
Coppa Italia - Torino VS Pisa
Match Time:26-09-2025 03:00 Friday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Team Reviews
Torino are entering this Coppa Italia Round of 32 match at Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino on September 25, 2025, in a challenging position, sitting 12th in Serie A with 4 points from four matches (1 win, 1 draw, 2 losses). Their recent form shows one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five competitive matches, including a 3-0 Serie A loss to Atalanta on September 21, 2025, and a 1-0 Coppa Italia win over Modena on August 17, 2025. They’ve scored one goal and conceded eight in Serie A, averaging 0.3 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game. At home, Torino are winless in their last two league games, drawing 0-0 with Lecce and losing 0-1 to Juventus. Coach Marco Baroni’s 4-3-3 relies on Nikola Vlašić’s creativity (one goal vs. Modena) and Giovanni Simeone’s finishing (one league goal). Injuries to Duván Zapata (doubtful, fitness) and Kristjan Asllani (doubtful, knock) are concerns, but Cesare Casadei is available. Torino will leverage their home crowd to press high and exploit Pisa’s defensive weaknesses, aiming to avoid last season’s early cup exit to Empoli.
Pisa are struggling, sitting 19th in Serie A with 1 point from four matches (0 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses). Their recent form includes one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five, with a 3-2 Serie A loss at Napoli on September 20, 2025, and a 4-2 penalty shootout win over Cesena in the Coppa Italia on August 15, 2025, after a 0-0 draw. They’ve scored three goals and conceded six in Serie A, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game. Away form is poor, with no wins in their last three road games, including a 2-0 loss at Udinese. Coach Alberto Gilardino’s 3-4-2-1 depends on Stefano Moreo’s finishing (one goal) and Matteo Tramoni’s wing play. Injuries to Arturo Calabresi (suspended), Daniel Denoon (doubtful, illness), and Calvin Stengs (thigh) weaken their squad. Pisa will aim to stay compact and counter Torino’s intensity, hoping to repeat their spirited Napoli performance.
Head to Head
Torino hold a strong edge, winning eight of their last 18 meetings with Pisa (6 draws, 4 Pisa wins). Their most recent competitive clash was a 4-0 Torino win in the 2016/17 Coppa Italia fourth round, with all goals in extra time. At Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino, Torino won their last meeting 4-0 in 2016 and drew 1-1 in 2008. Matches average 2.0 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of encounters, suggesting a potentially tight game. Torino’s historical dominance, especially at home (unbeaten in four home games vs. Pisa), gives them a psychological edge, but Pisa’s recent cup resilience (penalty win over Cesena) keeps them in contention for an upset.
Prediction
Torino’s home advantage and historical edge make them favorites against a Pisa side struggling in Serie A and depleted by injuries. I predict a 2-1 Torino win, with Vlašić or Simeone likely scoring, and Moreo or Tramoni possibly replying for Pisa on a counter. Torino’s win probability is around 65%, reflecting their 1-0 Modena win and Pisa’s 3-2 Napoli loss. Expect Torino to edge possession (around 54%) and corners (7-9 projected), with Pisa’s counters posing a moderate threat. The game should see Torino’s wingers exploit Pisa’s flanks, building on their 2016 rout, for a narrow victory to advance to the Round of 16 against Roma. If the match ends in a draw after 90 minutes, it will proceed directly to penalties, per Coppa Italia rules.
From:Preview
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