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16th Oct. Indonesia Super League---Dewa United FC VS Madura United Prediction

16th Oct. Indonesia Super League---Dewa United FC VS Madura United Prediction
Indonesia Super League  -  Dewa United FC VS Madura United
Match Time:16-10-2025 20:00 Thursday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips

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Team Reviews
Dewa United FC are entering this Indonesia Super League Matchday 9 clash at Banten International Stadium on October 16, 2025, in a promising position, sitting 6th with 13 points from 8 matches (4 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses). Their recent form shows two wins, one draw, and two losses in the last five, including a 3-1 win over PSS Sleman and a 1-1 draw against Persebaya Surabaya. They’ve scored 19 goals and conceded 12, averaging 2.4 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game. At home, Dewa United are strong, winning three of five, with goalkeeper Nadeo Argawinata keeping two clean sheets. Coach Jan Olde Riekerink’s 4-2-3-1 relies on Alex Martins’ finishing (9 goals) and Septian Bagaskara’s creativity (7 goals). No major injuries are reported, but the team’s high motivation as a dark horse could unsettle Madura. Dewa United will press high and exploit Madura’s defensive issues, aiming to climb into the top four.

Madura United are struggling, sitting 15th with 8 points from 8 matches (2 wins, 2 draws, 4 losses). Their recent form includes one win, one draw, and three losses in the last five, with a 2-0 win over Persis Solo but losses to Malut United (2-4) and Barito Putera (1-2). They’ve scored 10 goals and conceded 15, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per game. Away form is poor, with one win in five road games. Coach Angel Alfredo Vera’s 4-2-3-1 depends on Junior Brandão’s finishing (7 goals) and Luciano Juba’s wing play (2 goals). No major injuries are noted, but their five-game winless run (three losses) adds pressure. Madura will aim to stay compact and counter Dewa United’s attack, seeking to revive their season as a traditional underdog.

Head to Head
Dewa United FC and Madura United have met six times in recent seasons, with a balanced record: Madura United lead with two wins, three draws, and one Dewa United win. Their most recent clash was a 3-1 Madura United victory in February 2025 at Gelora Bangkalan, with Brandão scoring twice. In Banten, matches are tight, with a 2-2 draw in 2024 and a 1-1 in 2023. Games average 2.0 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of encounters, suggesting a low-scoring, tactical battle. Madura’s slight edge in head-to-head gives them confidence, but Dewa United’s home wins (2-1 vs. Persebaya) keep it competitive.

Prediction
Dewa United’s strong home form and attacking flair (2.4 goals per game) make them slight favorites against a Madura United side winless in five and leaky away (1.9 conceded per game). I predict a 2-1 Dewa United win, with Martins or Bagaskara scoring, and Brandão replying for Madura. Dewa United’s win probability is around 50%, reflecting their 3-1 PSS win and Madura’s 2-0 Persis result. Expect Dewa United to edge possession (around 52%) and corners (6-8), with Madura’s counters posing a threat. The game should be tight, with Dewa United’s motivation as a dark horse securing three points to push for the top four.
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