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20th Oct. Spanish La Liga---Alaves VS Valencia Prediction
Spanish La Liga - Alaves VS Valencia
Match Time:21-10-2025 03:00 Tuesday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Team Reviews
Deportivo Alavés head into this LaLiga Matchday 9 clash at Estadio Mendizorroza, Vitoria-Gasteiz, on October 20, 2025, in decent form, sitting 10th with 11 points from 8 matches (3 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses). Their recent form includes a 3-1 win over Elche, with Carlos Vicente, Antonio Martínez, and Lucas Boyé scoring. They’ve scored 9 goals and conceded 7, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per game. At home, Alavés are solid, winning 2 of 4 league games, with goalkeeper Antonio Sivera keeping one clean sheet. Coach Eduardo Coudet’s 4-2-3-1 relies on Vicente’s finishing (4 goals) and Joan Jordán’s creativity. Antonio Martínez, Calebe, and Nikola Maraš are out (injuries), but no suspensions are reported. Alavés will leverage their home form and recent dominance over Valencia to secure points.
Valencia CF are struggling, sitting 16th with 8 points from 8 matches (2 wins, 2 draws, 4 losses). Their recent form shows a 2-1 loss to Girona, with Diego López scoring, and a 2-2 draw against Alavés. They’ve scored 9 goals and conceded 13, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game. Away form is poor, with no wins in 4 (1 draw, 3 losses). Coach Carlos Corberán’s 4-2-3-1 depends on López’s finishing (2 goals) and Pepelu’s midfield control. Thierry Correia and Iván Jaime are out (injuries), while José Luis Gayà, Dimitri Foulquier, and Luis Rioja are suspended. Valencia will focus on defensive solidity and counter-attacks, aiming to end their winless away streak.
Head to Head
As shown in the sports card above, Alavés and Valencia have met 32 times historically, with Valencia winning 15, Alavés 10, and 7 draws, averaging 2.4 goals per game. Alavés won 1-0 at home in their last meeting (May 14, 2025), and haven’t lost to Valencia in their last 5 encounters (4 wins, 1 draw). At Mendizorroza, Alavés have won 6 of 15, with 4 draws, and their 2-1 win in February 2022 is notable. Both teams scored in 70% of their last 20 meetings, suggesting an open game. Alavés’s 3-1 Elche win and Valencia’s 2-2 draw against Alavés indicate a competitive clash.
Prediction
Alavés’s home strength (2 wins in 4) and recent dominance over Valencia (unbeaten in 5) give them the edge, especially against Valencia’s depleted squad and winless away record (0-1-3). Valencia’s suspensions weaken their defense, making them vulnerable to Alavés’s attack led by Vicente. I predict a 2-0 Alavés win, with Vicente and Boyé scoring. Alavés’s win probability is around 50%, reflecting their 3-1 Elche win and Valencia’s 2-1 Girona loss. Expect Alavés to control possession (around 48%) and corners (6-8), with Valencia limited to counters. The game will see Alavés push for a top-half finish, while Valencia fight to avoid relegation.
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