20th Oct. Italian Serie A---Cremonese VS Udinese Prediction

Italy Serie A - Cremonese VS Udinese
Match Time:21-10-2025 02:45 Tuesday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Team Reviews
Cremonese are entering this Serie A Matchday 12 clash at Stadio Giovanni Zini on October 18, 2025, in a precarious position, sitting 19th with 6 points from 11 matches (1 win, 3 draws, 7 losses). Their recent form shows one win and three losses in their last five league matches, including a 2-1 loss to Monza and a 3-0 cup win over Ascoli. They've scored 7 goals and conceded 18, averaging 0.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game. At home, Cremonese are winless in their last three league games (two draws, one loss), with goalkeeper Salvatore Nuvoli keeping no clean sheets recently. Coach Giovanni Stroppa's 4-3-3 relies on Daniel Ciofani's finishing (two goals) and Andrea Bertoncini's defensive leadership. No major injuries are reported, but the team's low morale after a 2-0 loss to Lecce is a concern. Cremonese will aim to leverage their home crowd to end a five-game winless run against Udinese.
Udinese are in decent form, sitting 10th with 15 points from 11 matches (4 wins, 3 draws, 4 losses). Their recent form includes two wins and one draw in their last five league matches, with a 1-0 win over Verona and a 2-2 draw against Torino. They've scored 11 goals and conceded 12, averaging 1.0 goal scored and 1.1 conceded per game. Away form is mixed, with two wins in five road games. Coach Kosta Runjaić's 4-2-3-1 depends on Lorenzo Lucca's finishing (three goals) and Florian Thauvin's creativity (two assists). No major injuries are noted, but Udinese will focus on defensive solidity, aiming to extend their unbeaten run in five games against Cremonese.
Head to Head
Udinese hold a strong edge, winning 8 of their last 12 meetings with Cremonese (3 draws, 1 Cremonese win). Their most recent clash was a 2-1 Udinese victory in 2023, with Lucca scoring the winner. At Stadio Zini, Udinese have won 4 of the last 6, with one draw. Matches average 2.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of encounters, suggesting a low-scoring, tactical game. Udinese's recent dominance (unbeaten in 5) gives them confidence, but Cremonese's 1-0 win in 2021 shows they can compete at home.
Prediction
Udinese's better form and historical dominance in this fixture make them favorites against a Cremonese side desperate for points but struggling defensively. Cremonese's home resilience (two draws in three) keeps it close, but Udinese's attack should prevail. I predict a 1-0 Udinese win, with Lucca or Thauvin scoring, and Cremonese failing to break through. Udinese's win probability is around 50%, reflecting their 1-0 Verona win and Cremonese's 2-1 Monza loss. Expect Udinese to edge possession (around 52%) and corners (6-8), with Cremonese's counters limited. The game will be tight, with Udinese's defensive solidity securing three points to push for mid-table security.
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