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22nd Oct. UEFA Champions League---Chelsea VS AFC Ajax Prediction
UEFA Champions League - Chelsea VS AFC Ajax
Match Time:23-10-2025 03:00 Thursday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Team Reviews
Chelsea head into this UEFA Champions League Matchday 3 clash at Stamford Bridge, London, on October 22, 2025, in strong form, sitting 18th in the league phase with 3 points from 2 matches (1 win, 1 loss). Their recent form includes a 1-0 UCL win over Benfica, with Pedro Neto scoring, and a 3-0 Premier League victory against Nottingham Forest. They’ve scored 1 goal and conceded 3 in the UCL, averaging 0.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game. At home, Chelsea are unbeaten in their last 12 UCL group/league phase games (8 wins, 4 draws). Coach Enzo Maresca’s 4-2-3-1 relies on Neto’s flair (1 UCL goal) and Moises Caicedo’s midfield control. Cole Palmer, Liam Delap, Levi Colwill, and João Pedro are out (injuries or suspension), with Enzo Fernández and Benoît Badiashile doubtful. Chelsea will leverage their home dominance to secure a second straight UCL win.
AFC Ajax are in poor form, sitting 35th with 0 points from 2 matches (2 losses). Their recent form includes a 4-0 UCL loss to Marseille and a 2-0 defeat to Inter Milan, plus a 2-1 Eredivisie loss to AZ Alkmaar. They’ve scored 0 goals and conceded 6 in the UCL, averaging 0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per game. Away form is dire, with no wins in their last 11 major European games against English sides (2 draws, 9 losses). Coach John Heitinga’s 4-3-3 depends on Wout Weghorst’s finishing (no UCL goals) and Davy Klaassen’s experience. Owen Wijndal, Kasper Dolberg, and Branco van den Boomen are out (injuries). Ajax will focus on defensive compactness to avoid a third straight UCL loss.
Head to Head
Chelsea and Ajax have met twice in the Champions League, with Chelsea winning 1-0 in Amsterdam (October 2019) and drawing 4-4 at Stamford Bridge (November 2019), averaging 2.5 goals per game. Chelsea are unbeaten against Ajax (1 win, 1 draw), with both teams scoring in the 4-4 thriller. Chelsea’s 3-0 Forest win and Ajax’s 4-0 Marseille loss suggest Chelsea’s edge, but Ajax’s resilience in their 2019 draw shows potential for a competitive clash.
Prediction
Chelsea’s home strength (unbeaten in 12 UCL games) and Ajax’s winless run against English teams (0-2-9) make the Blues heavy favorites. Ajax’s goalless UCL campaign and injury issues limit their threat, though Weghorst could exploit Chelsea’s depleted defense. I predict a 2-0 Chelsea win, with Neto and Caicedo scoring. Chelsea’s win probability is around 65%, reflecting their 1-0 Benfica win and Ajax’s 2-0 Inter loss. Expect Chelsea to dominate possession (around 55%) and corners (7-9), with Ajax relying on counters. The game will see Chelsea aim to climb the table, while Ajax fight for their first UCL points.
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