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28th Oct. Italian Serie A---Atalanta VS AC Milan Prediction
Italy Serie A - Atalanta VS AC Milan
Match Time:29-10-2025 03:45 Wednesday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Team Reviews
Atalanta head into this Serie A Matchday 9 clash at Gewiss Stadium, Bergamo, on October 28, 2025, in strong form, sitting 5th with 16 points from 8 matches (5 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses). Their recent form includes a 2-0 win over Venezia and a 1-1 draw against Lazio, scoring 8 goals and conceding 4 in their last five league games. They’ve scored 14 goals and conceded 8 this season, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. At home, Atalanta are formidable, winning 3 of 4 league games, with goalkeeper Marco Carnesecchi keeping 2 clean sheets. Coach Gian Piero Gasperini’s 3-4-2-1 relies on Ademola Lookman’s finishing (4 goals) and Éderson’s midfield dynamism. Giorgio Scalvini is out (injury), but no suspensions are reported. Atalanta will leverage their high-pressing style and home crowd to challenge Milan’s defense.
AC Milan are in a transitional phase, sitting 7th with 14 points from 8 matches (4 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses). Their recent form includes a 3-1 loss to Inter but a 2-0 win over Como, scoring 6 goals and conceding 5 in their last five league games. They’ve scored 12 goals and conceded 9, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game. Away form is solid, with 2 wins in 4 road games. Coach Paulo Fonseca’s 4-2-3-1 depends on Christian Pulisic’s flair (3 goals) and Rafael Leão’s creativity (2 assists). Davide Calabria and Alessandro Florenzi are out (injuries), with Tammy Abraham doubtful (fitness). Milan will focus on quick transitions and exploiting Atalanta’s defensive gaps.
Head to Head
As shown in the sports card above, Atalanta have an 8.8% conversion rate against AC Milan in Serie A all-time, with 8 wins, 8 draws, and 6 losses in 22 matches, scoring 30 goals to Milan’s 26. Recent encounters include a 1-1 draw in February 2025 and a 2-1 Atalanta win in December 2024 at Gewiss Stadium. At home, Atalanta are unbeaten in their last 4 against Milan (2 wins, 2 draws). Matches average 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% of the last 10 games. Atalanta’s 2-0 Venezia win and Milan’s 3-1 Inter loss suggest a competitive, potentially high-scoring clash.
Prediction
Atalanta’s home strength (3 wins in 4) and high-pressing game give them a slight edge over Milan’s inconsistent form, especially with Milan’s injury concerns. However, Milan’s attacking talent (Pulisic, Leão) could exploit Atalanta’s occasional defensive lapses. I predict a 2-2 draw, with Lookman and Charles De Ketelaere scoring for Atalanta, and Pulisic and Álvaro Morata for Milan. Draw probability is around 35%, reflecting Atalanta’s 1-1 Lazio draw and Milan’s 2-0 Como win. Expect Atalanta to edge possession (around 51%) and corners (6-8), with Milan dangerous on counters. The game will be intense, with both teams pushing for a top-four spot.
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