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Predictions> Preview> England League Cup,Wrexham,Car...

28th Oct. England League Cup---Wrexham VS Cardiff City Prediction

28th Oct. England League Cup---Wrexham VS Cardiff City Prediction
England League Cup  -  Wrexham VS Cardiff City
Match Time:29-10-2025 04:00 Wednesday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips

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Team Reviews
Wrexham head into this Carabao Cup Fourth Round clash at STōK Cae Ras in solid form, sitting 16th in the Championship with 15 points from 12 matches (3 wins, 6 draws, 3 losses). Their recent form includes a 1-1 draw against Middlesbrough and a 2-0 EFL Cup win over Reading, with Nathan Broadhead scoring both goals. They’ve scored 12 goals and conceded 16 in the league, averaging 1.0 goal scored and 1.3 conceded per game. In the Cup, they’ve beaten Hull City, Preston North End, and Reading, keeping two clean sheets. At home, Wrexham are inconsistent, with 1 win in 6 league games but stronger in cup ties. Coach Phil Parkinson’s 3-5-2 relies on Broadhead’s finishing (5 goals across competitions) and Kieffer Moore’s aerial presence. Ben Sheaf, Oliver Rathbone, Danny Ward, Jay Rodriguez, Elliot Lee, and Andy Cannon are out (injuries), but Callum Doyle returns from suspension. Wrexham will leverage their home crowd and cup momentum to reach their first quarter-final since 1977-78.

Cardiff City, topping League One with 26 points from 13 matches (8 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses), are in excellent form. Their recent form includes a 1-0 loss to Bolton but a 2-1 Cup win over Premier League Burnley, with Joel Colwill and Callum Robinson scoring. They’ve scored 22 goals and conceded 10 in the league, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game. In the Cup, they’ve beaten Swindon Town, Cheltenham Town, and Burnley. Away form is strong, with 4 wins in 6 league games. Coach Brian Barry-Murphy’s 4-2-3-1 depends on Yousef Salech’s finishing (13 goals in 33 league games) and Rubin Colwill’s creativity (4 goals, 5 assists). Jak Alnwick and Ollie Tanner are out (injuries). Cardiff will aim to assert their League One dominance and upset Wrexham in this Welsh derby.

Head to Head
Wrexham and Cardiff City have met 74 times historically, with Wrexham winning 29, Cardiff 27, and 18 draws, averaging 2.3 goals per game. Their last meeting was a 2004 FAW Premier Cup semi-final, which Wrexham won on penalties. The last league encounter was in 2002 (League Two), with Cardiff winning 3-2 at Ninian Park. At STōK Cae Ras, Wrexham have won 15 of 37, with Cardiff winning 12. Both teams scored in 60% of their last 10 meetings. Wrexham’s 2-1 Welsh Cup win in 1995 and Cardiff’s 1994 Division Three title win over Wrexham highlight the rivalry’s intensity. Wrexham’s 2-0 Reading win and Cardiff’s 2-1 Burnley victory suggest a tight, high-stakes clash.

Prediction
Wrexham’s home advantage and cup form (3 wins, 2 clean sheets) give them a slight edge, but Cardiff’s League One lead and recent Premier League scalp (Burnley) make them formidable. Wrexham’s leaky defense (1.3 goals conceded per game) could be tested by Salech and Colwill, while Broadhead and Moore threaten Cardiff’s backline. I predict a 2-2 draw, with Broadhead and Moore scoring for Wrexham, and Salech and Colwill for Cardiff, potentially decided by penalties. Draw probability is around 35%, reflecting Wrexham’s 1-1 Middlesbrough draw and Cardiff’s 1-0 Bolton loss. Expect Wrexham to edge possession (around 50%) and corners (6-8), with Cardiff dangerous on counters. This Welsh derby will be intense, with a quarter-final spot at stake.
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