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31 Oct. Argentine Division 1---San Lorenzo VS Deportivo Riestra Prediction
Argentine Division 1 - San Lorenzo VS Deportivo Riestra
Match Time:01-11-2025 06:00 Saturday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Team Reviews
San Lorenzo are entering this Argentine Primera División (Torneo Clausura 2025, Group A, Matchday 13) clash at Estadio Pedro Bidegain, Buenos Aires, on October 25, 2025, in average form, sitting 6th in Group A with 18 points from 12 matches (5 wins, 3 draws, 4 losses). Their recent form includes a 2-1 loss to River Plate and a 1-1 draw against Estudiantes, scoring 4 goals and conceding 4 in the last five league games. They’ve scored 15 goals and conceded 13 this season, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game. At home, San Lorenzo have won 3 of 6 Clausura matches, with 1.5 goals scored per game. Coach Leandro Romagnoli's 4-2-3-1 relies on Adam Bareiro's finishing (4 goals) and Iván Leguizamón's creativity (2 assists). No major injuries are reported, but the team's inconsistent defense (1.1 conceded per game) is a concern. San Lorenzo will aim to leverage their passionate home crowd to end a two-game winless run against Riestra.
Deportivo Riestra are struggling, sitting 12th in Group A with 13 points from 12 matches (3 wins, 4 draws, 5 losses). Their recent form shows one win, two draws, and two losses in the last five league games, with a 1-0 win over Banfield and a 1-1 draw against Independiente. They’ve scored 8 goals and conceded 12, averaging 0.7 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. Away form is poor, with no wins in 6 road games (2 draws, 4 losses). Coach Cristian Fabbiani's 4-4-2 depends on Gonzalo Bravo's finishing (2 goals) and Matías Tanco's defensive leadership. No major injuries are noted, but Riestra’s low scoring (0.7 goals per game) limits their threat. They’ll focus on defensive organization and counters, hoping to build on their unbeaten run in 3 of their last 5.
Head to Head
San Lorenzo and Deportivo Riestra have met 8 times since 2014, with San Lorenzo winning 5, Riestra 1, and 2 draws, averaging 1.9 goals per game. San Lorenzo won the last 3 encounters, including a 2-0 home win on May 18, 2025, with Bareiro scoring both. At Estadio Pedro Bidegain, San Lorenzo have won 4 of 5, with 1 draw. Both teams scored in 25% of the last 8 matches, indicating low-scoring, San Lorenzo-dominated games. San Lorenzo’s 2-1 River loss and Riestra’s 1-0 Banfield win suggest a tight, defensive battle.
Prediction
San Lorenzo’s home dominance (3 wins in 6) and historical edge (5 wins in 8) make them favorites against Riestra’s poor away form (0 wins in 6). Riestra’s defensive resilience (1.0 conceded per game) could keep it close, but San Lorenzo’s attack should prevail. I predict a 1-0 San Lorenzo win, with Bareiro or Leguizamón scoring, and Riestra failing to break through. San Lorenzo’s win probability is around 55%, reflecting their 1-1 Estudiantes draw and Riestra’s 1-0 Banfield win. Expect San Lorenzo to control possession (around 54%) and corners (6-8), with Riestra relying on counters. The game will be tight, with San Lorenzo’s home crowd pushing them to three points in the playoff race, while Riestra fight for survival.
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