13th Nov. FIFA World Cup qualification (UEFA)---Ireland VS Portugal Prediction

FIFA World Cup qualification (UEFA) - Ireland VS Portugal
Match Time:14-11-2025 03:45 Friday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Team Reviews
Republic of Ireland are entering this FIFA World Cup 2026 Qualification UEFA Group F Matchday 3 clash at Aviva Stadium, Dublin, on November 13, 2025, in a must-win situation, sitting bottom of Group F with 1 point from two matches (0 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss). Their recent form includes a 2-2 draw against Hungary on October 14, 2025, where Evan Ferguson and Adam Idah scored late equalizers, but a 2-1 loss to Armenia earlier. They've scored 4 goals and conceded 5, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 2.5 conceded per game. At home, Ireland are unbeaten in their last three competitive matches (two wins, one draw), with goalkeeper Caoimhín Kelleher keeping one clean sheet. Coach Heimir Hallgrímsson’s 3-4-2-1 relies on Ferguson’s finishing (two goals) and Nathan Collins’ defensive leadership. Injuries to Matt Doherty, Jason Knight, Bosun Lawal, and Callum O’Dowda are concerns, but Séamus Coleman and John Egan return. Ireland will leverage their home crowd to press Portugal, aiming for an upset to keep play-off hopes alive.
Portugal are in commanding form, leading Group F with 7 points from three matches (2 wins, 1 draw), having played one more game. Their recent form includes a 1-0 win over Hungary on October 14, 2025 (Rúben Neves injury-time goal), a 5-0 thrashing of Armenia, and a 3-2 victory over Ireland in October. They've scored 9 goals and conceded 2, averaging 3.0 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game. Away form is strong, with two wins in two qualifiers. Coach Roberto Martínez’s 4-3-3 depends on Cristiano Ronaldo’s finishing (three goals) and Bruno Fernandes’ creativity (one assist). João Cancelo and João Neves are out (hamstring injuries), but Nuno Tavares steps in. Portugal will aim to dominate possession and secure qualification with a win, extending their five-game winning streak.
Head to Head
Portugal lead the historical record, unbeaten in their last five meetings with Ireland (4 wins, 1 draw), including a 3-0 friendly win in June 2024 and a 3-0 victory in the 2022 World Cup qualifiers. In Dublin, the teams drew 0-0 in a 2021 qualifier, Portugal's only non-win there in recent years. Matches average 2.0 goals, with both teams scoring in 20% of the last five, suggesting low-scoring, Portugal-dominated games. Portugal’s 3-2 Hungary win and Ireland’s 2-2 Hungary draw highlight the rivalry's competitiveness, but Portugal’s recent edge is clear.
Prediction
Ireland’s home resilience (unbeaten in three) and late scoring ability (two goals in stoppage time vs. Hungary) give them hope, but Portugal’s attacking depth (3.0 goals per game) and unbeaten run (five wins) make them overwhelming favorites. Ireland’s injuries weaken their midfield, limiting counters. I predict a 2-0 Portugal win, with Ronaldo and Fernandes scoring, and Ireland failing to break through. Portugal’s win probability is around 70%, reflecting their 1-0 Hungary win and Ireland’s 2-1 Armenia loss. Expect Portugal to control possession (around 60%) and corners (8-10), with Ireland’s press creating few chances. The game will be tense, with Portugal securing qualification and Ireland shifting focus to play-offs.
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