13th Jan. Spanish Copa Del Rey---Deportivo La Coruna VS Atletico Madrid Prediction

Spanish Copa Del Rey - Deportivo La Coruna VS Atletico Madrid
Match Time:14-01-2026 04:00 Wednesday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Team News
Deportivo La Coruña
The Segunda División outfit hosts this Copa del Rey round-of-16 tie at a buzzing Estadio Riazor, full of hope after a solid cup run despite shaky league form. Deportivo are pushing for promotion (sitting around fourth in the table), but they've struggled recently—no wins in their last five or six matches overall, including a 1-1 draw away to Las Palmas just before this game. In the Copa, they've been impressive: straightforward wins over lower-division Samano and Sabadell, then a gritty 1-0 home victory over LaLiga side Mallorca in the round of 32, clinched by a late strike from young substitute Noé Carrillo. Injuries are not a big issue—defender Ximo Navarro (or Sergio Escudero in some reports) remains out long-term with a muscle problem, but the rest of the squad is largely fit after the winter break. Manager Antonio Hidalgo should go with a compact 4-4-2: Álvaro Fernández in goal, defenders Adrià Altimira, Arnau Comas, Lucas Noubi, and Giacomo Quagliata. Midfield features Luismi Cruz, Mario Soriano, Diego Villares, and David Mella for energy and control, while Yeremay Hernández's pace and Stoichkov's finishing lead the attack. Deportivo will aim to press high, stay organized, and hit on counters to make the most of home support and create an upset.
Atlético Madrid
Diego Simeone's LaLiga side come in as strong favorites, motivated to recover after a tough start to 2026—a 2-1 Supercopa semi-final defeat to Real Madrid and some inconsistent results. The Copa del Rey is a key chance for silverware, especially with league ambitions slipping. Their cup journey has been scrappy so far: a narrow 3-2 win over fourth-tier Atlético Baleares in the round of 32, needing late goals and solid goalkeeping to progress. Rotation is expected to handle fatigue, but quality remains deep. Injuries are a concern: Clément Lenglet (knee) and Nicolás González (hamstring) are sidelined, Pablo Barrios is doubtful from a recent knock, and Koke may miss out too. Simeone could mix in fringe players while keeping core strength—Jan Oblak (or Juan Musso in rotation) in goal, defenders Marcos Llorente, Marc Pubill, David Hancko, and Matteo Ruggeri. Midfield with Conor Gallagher, Giuliano Simeone, and Álex Baena for drive and creativity, plus forwards like Alexander Sorloth (power), Julián Álvarez (sharpness), and possibly others like Giacomo Raspadori or Antoine Griezmann depending on the setup. Atlético excel in tactical control, set pieces, and ruthless counters—ideal for knockout ties.
Head to Head Analysis
Atlético Madrid have a clear historical advantage. The teams have met over 110 times across all competitions, with Atlético winning around 54-55, Deportivo claiming 26-29, and the rest draws. In recent years, Atlético's dominance is even more pronounced—they remain unbeaten in the last 12-13 encounters, going back many seasons. The most recent clash was in LaLiga in April 2018, a narrow 1-0 Atlético home win from a penalty. That same season, they also won 1-0 away at Riazor. In Copa del Rey meetings (often double-legged historically), Atlético have always come through. Recent head-to-heads tend to be low-scoring—five of the last six under 2.5 goals—with Atlético controlling through discipline and experience. Deportivo have kept some games tight at home (covering +1.5 handicaps in several Riazor clashes against Atlético), but they haven't beaten them outright in decades. The gap in squad quality, knockout nous, and finishing ability makes Atlético heavy favorites against Segunda-level opposition in this competition.
Prediction
Deportivo La Coruña 0-2 Atlético Madrid (Atlético advance). A controlled, professional win for the visitors, likely keeping a clean sheet while adding goals late if Deportivo push forward.
From:Preview
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