14th Jan. Italian Serie A---Napoli VS Parma Prediction
Italian Serie A - Napoli VS Parma
Match Time:15-01-2026 01:30 Thursday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Team News
Napoli come off a gritty 2-2 draw away to Inter Milan, extending an unbeaten run to four league games (two wins, two draws). They've been strong at home, unbeaten in Serie A this season with six wins from eight, scoring consistently (seven straight home games with goals). However, injuries hit hard: key men like Kevin De Bruyne, Romelu Lukaku, Frank Anguissa, Billy Gilmour, and possibly David Neres are sidelined or doubtful. Defender Juan Jesus is suspended, and Conte himself is banned from the touchline after a red card vs Inter. Scott McTominay has been in fine form (scoring recently), while Rasmus Højlund and Matteo Politano lead the attack. Expect a solid backline with Amir Rrahmani and Giovanni Di Lorenzo, but midfield creativity may be tested.
Parma, managed by Carlos Cuesta, grabbed a boost with a 2-1 win over Lecce recently, showing better away resilience (three wins in last four road games). They're grinding points to stay clear of the drop zone, with Mateo Pellegrino (five goals this season) as their main threat up front. Injuries weaken them: Frigan, Lovik, Ndiaye, and Suzuki are out. They'll likely set up defensively compact, relying on counters via players like Jacob Ondrejka and Adrián Bernabé. Recent form shows vulnerability (conceding in three straight), but they've become tougher to break down on the road.
Head to Head Analysis
Historically, Napoli dominate with around 18-23 wins in 40+ meetings, compared to Parma's 14 or so, plus several draws. Recent encounters favor Napoli (three wins in last five, with two draws), often low-scoring or clean sheets for the hosts. Parma have struggled against top sides, rarely winning away at big stadiums. The last clash ended goalless, but Napoli's home record against mid/lower-table teams is strong—they score regularly while keeping things tight. Parma can frustrate, but Napoli's quality usually prevails at Maradona, especially with their current home scoring streak.
Prediction
Napoli's home fortress, attacking depth (even with absences), and motivation to close the gap on leaders make them heavy favorites. Parma's recent pluck and counter threat could keep it competitive early, but their injury issues and poor record in big away games point to struggle. Expect Napoli to control possession, break through eventually, and limit Parma's chances—likely a controlled win with goals from set pieces or individual brilliance.
Final Prediction: Napoli win 2-0 (or 2-1). Strong home edge, under 3.5 goals likely. Napoli to win comfortably—around 70-75% confidence in a home victory.
From:Preview
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