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11th Feb. English Premier League---Crystal Palace VS Burnley Prediction

11th Feb. English Premier League---Crystal Palace VS Burnley Prediction
English Premier League  -  Crystal Palace VS Burnley
Match Time:12-02-2026 03:40 Thursday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips

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Team News
Crystal Palace have found some consistency in recent weeks and now sit comfortably in mid-table. Their home form at Selhurst Park remains a strength – they have lost only a couple of league games there this season and have been hard to break down defensively when organised. Recent results include important draws against top-half sides and a narrow home win. No major new injuries: Marc Guéhi is back fit after a minor knock, while Eberechi Eze and Jean-Philippe Mateta are both available and in good form. Expect a 4-2-3-1 or 4-3-3 with Dean Henderson in goal, a back four featuring Tyrick Mitchell and Daniel Muñoz, midfield grit from Will Hughes and Adam Wharton, and attack led by Eze, Mateta and Ismaila Sarr or Daichi Kamada. Palace will look to press in midfield, stay compact and exploit quick transitions at home.

Burnley are battling hard to stay in the Premier League, currently sitting just above the drop zone with the joint-worst away record in the division (very few points picked up on the road). Their defensive organisation has improved under Scott Parker, but they still struggle to create enough clear chances, especially away from Turf Moor. No significant new injury concerns: key forward Josh Brownhill is fit again, while defenders Dara O’Shea and Jordan Beyer provide solidity. Expect a disciplined 4-4-2 or 5-4-1 with James Trafford in goal, a back five when defending deep, midfield energy from Josh Brownhill and Josh Cullen, and forwards Lyle Foster and Zian Flemming (or Jay Rodriguez) looking to hit on counters and second balls. Burnley will aim to stay narrow, frustrate Palace early and try to nick something on the break.

Head to Head Analysis
Recent meetings between these sides have been tight and low-scoring. In the last six Premier League clashes, there have been three draws, two Burnley wins and one Palace victory. At Selhurst Park, Palace are unbeaten in their last four home games against Burnley (two wins, two draws), often grinding out results through physical defending and set-piece work. Games tend to be cagey and tactical – five of the last seven produced under 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in only two of those. Palace usually control more possession at home and create better chances, but Burnley are very hard to break down when they defend deep and organised. Expect a physical, midfield-heavy battle with limited clear openings and the outcome likely decided by one moment of quality or a dead-ball situation.

Prediction
Palace’s home strength and recent upturn in confidence give them the edge in this one. Selhurst Park can be a tough place when the crowd is up for it, and they have the individual quality (Eze, Mateta) to unlock even the tightest defences. Burnley are well-drilled and difficult to beat when they sit deep, but their poor away scoring record and lack of attacking fluency limit their threat on the road. This feels like a classic low-event Premier League scrap – both sides cancelling each other out for long periods, few clear chances, and the game staying tight until late. Palace should have enough to edge it through a set piece or moment of individual brilliance, but a draw is very realistic. Lean towards the home side just doing enough.

Final Prediction: Crystal Palace win 1-0 (or draw 1-1). Home side to take the points or share them – around 60% confidence in Palace not losing, with under 2.5 goals highly probable.
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