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I26th Feb. ndonesia Super League---Borneo FC Samarinda VS Arema FC Prediction
Indonesia Super League - Borneo FC Samarinda VS Arema FC
Match Time:26-02-2026 21:30 Thursday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Team News
Borneo FC Samarinda are in excellent shape heading into this Indonesia Super League clash, sitting 3rd in the table with 46 points from 21 games (15 wins, 1 draw, 5 losses) and boasting one of the strongest home records in the league. At Stadion Segiri they are very hard to beat, winning the majority of their matches there with a solid defensive structure and dangerous counter-attacking style. Recent form has been impressive (four wins in the last five league outings), and they come into this game fresh after a positive result at the weekend. The only notable absence is striker H. Jusuf (meniscus injury), but the squad depth is good with key attackers like Kei Hirose, Koldo Obieta and Mariano Peralta Bauer all available. Expect a high-energy 4-3-3 or 4-2-3-1 with the back four staying compact, midfield anchored by experienced heads, and the front line looking to exploit wide areas and quick transitions in front of a passionate home crowd.
Arema FC sit 9th with 31 points from 22 games (8 wins, 7 draws, 7 losses) and have shown resilience on the road (55% tendency towards away draws), but they remain inconsistent away from home and have been leaky defensively against top-half sides. Their recent results include a 2-2 draw with Madura United, showing fighting spirit but also vulnerability at the back. Injuries hit them hard: defender Luiz Gustavo (Achilles tendon rupture), midfielder Betinho (head injury), and defender Achmad Maulana Syarif (cruciate ligament tear until May) are all unavailable. Expect a compact 4-4-2 or 5-3-2 with goalkeeper Lucas Bruera, a deep defensive block, midfield grit from available players like Sergi Roberto or Lucas Da Cunha, and forwards relying on Patrick Cutrone or Jacobo González for any threat on the counter. Arema will look to frustrate Borneo early, stay narrow and hope for set-piece opportunities.
Head to Head Analysis
Borneo have dominated recent encounters, winning 9 of the last 17 competitive meetings against Arema (Arema have 4 wins, 6 draws). The most recent clash on 26 October 2025 saw Borneo win 3-1 away at Arema, highlighting their superiority in open games. At Stadion Segiri, Borneo are particularly strong – they are unbeaten in their last three home games against Arema (two wins, one draw) and often control matches through better possession and set-piece execution. Games between these sides tend to be competitive but favour the home team lately: most recent fixtures have seen over 2.5 goals, with Borneo scoring freely while Arema struggle to keep clean sheets on the road. Borneo usually dominate midfield and wide areas at home, while Arema sit deep and look for counters – expect another physical, end-to-end battle with Borneo dictating tempo and Arema dangerous on the break or from dead balls.
Prediction
Borneo’s superb home record, current momentum and superior squad depth (even with one injury) make them clear favourites in this fixture. The Segiri crowd will create a hostile atmosphere that often lifts the hosts to another level, and their attacking options should eventually break down Arema’s compact block. Arema are tough to beat when organised and can nick a goal on the counter or set piece, especially with their away resilience, but their injury list and poor record against top-half teams away from home limit their chances. This should be an entertaining game with goals from transitions and set pieces, but Borneo’s quality and home advantage should see them take all three points in a controlled performance. A narrow win is most likely, though a share of the spoils remains possible if Arema defend brilliantly.
Final Prediction: Borneo FC Samarinda win 2-1 (or 3-1). Home side to claim the points – around 65-70% confidence in a Borneo victory, with over 2.5 goals likely in this open matchup.
From:Preview
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