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UEFA Nations League - Germany VS Italy Prediction

UEFA Nations League - Germany VS Italy Prediction
UEFA Nations League  -  Germany VS Italy
Match Time:24-03-2025 03:45 Monday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips

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Germany
Marc-Andre ter Stegen is ruled out with cruciate ligament damage, Florian Wirtz has an ankle ligament injury, and Kai Havertz has a thigh injury. Germany will shape up in a 4-2-3-1 formation, with Oliver Baumann in goal.

Joshua Kimmich and Maximilian Mittelstadt will start as the full-backs here, and they will look to contribute at both ends of the pitch. Antonio Rudiger will start alongside Nico Schlotterbeck at the heart of the defence.

As for the midfield unit, Leon Goretzka and Pascal Gross will start in the double pivot. They will look to protect the back four and break down the opposition’s attacking moves. Jamal Musiala will start in the attacking midfield role, and he will look to carve out chances for his teammates in the final third.

Leroy Sane and Karim Adeyemi will start on the flanks. They will look to add pace, flair and goals from the wide areas. Finally, Tim Kleindienst will lead the line for Germany vs Italy at Signal Iduna Park on Sunday.

Italy
Riccardo Calafiori suffered a knee injury late on against Germany on Thursday and is likely to miss out. Mateo Retegui has a muscle injury and Andrea Cambiaso has an ankle injury.

Italy are likely to shape up in a 3-5-2 formation, with Gianluigi Donnarumma in goal.

In the back three, Giovanni Di Lorenzo will start alongside Alessandro Buongiorno and Alessandro Bastoni. In the wing-back roles, Raoul Bellanova and Destiny Udogie will look to contribute at both ends of the pitch.

In the midfield three, Samuele Ricci will start alongside Davide Frattesi and Sandro Tonali, who will add drive and defensive cover to the side in the midfield. Ricci will add control and composure to the side. Finally, Moise Kean will lead the line alongside Giacomo Raspadori.

Germany possible starting lineup:
Baumann; Kimmich, Rudiger, Schlotterbeck, Mittelstadt; Goretzka, Gross; Sane, Musiala, Adeyemi; Kleindienst

Italy possible starting lineup:
Donnarumma; Di Lorenzo, Bastoni, Buongiorno; Bellanova, Barella, Ricci, Tonali, Udogie; Raspadori, Kean

Germany vs Italy Head-to-Head and Key Numbers
Italy have a good historical record against Germany and have won 15 out of the 38 matches played between the two teams, as opposed to Germany's 11 victories.
Italy are winless in their last seven matches against Germany in all competitions and have suffered defeat in four of these games, with their previous such defeat coming in the reverse fixture.
Germany are winless in their last seven matches in all competitions on the international stage, with their previous such defeat coming by a 2-1 margin at the hands of Spain in the quarterfinals of Euro 2024.
Italy have lost each of their last two matches in the UEFA Nations League, with their previous victory in the competition coming by a 1-0 margin against Belgium last year.

Prediction: Germany 1-1 Italy (Germany win 3-2 on aggregate)
It would be fair to expect another tight contest in Germany, as Italy will go all-out to overturn their first-leg loss - but they are set to come up just short. The Azzurri have scored in all but one of their last 20 Nations League matches, finding the net before half time in the last 10, so another first-half strike could set up a frantic finale.
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