15th Jan. Italian Serie A---Como VS AC Milan Prediction

Italy Serie A - Como VS AC Milan
Match Time:16-01-2026 03:45 Friday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Team News
Como are in fine fettle, on a four-game unbeaten run (including a recent 1-1 draw with Bologna), conceding just once in that stretch. Their home form is rock-solid, with low-scoring games common (under 2.5 goals in most recent home outings). Injuries hit the attack: Assane Diao and Jayden Addai are out for the next few games, while Edoardo Goldaniga is day-to-day and Álvaro Morata (Milan loanee) is also doubtful. Nico Paz remains key (impressive with goal involvements and creativity), alongside attackers like Anastasios Douvikas, Mergim Vojvoda, and Lucas Da Cunha in a 4-2-3-1 setup. Cesc Fàbregas's side will focus on compact defending, counter-attacks, and exploiting Milan's occasional vulnerabilities.
AC Milan boast depth despite some issues: Santiago Gimenez is sidelined long-term (ankle), with doubts over Christian Pulisic (muscle/virus) and Rafael Leão (groin/muscle, though both may feature if not at peak). Matteo Gabbia could miss out too. Massimiliano Allegri's team showed resilience in recent draws, with Pulisic and Leão as main threats (combined over 15 goals this season), plus Christopher Nkunku in form. Expect a 3-5-2 or similar with Mike Maignan in goal, a solid back three (Tomori, Pavlovic), midfield control from Loftus-Cheek, Rabiot, and Modric, and forwards like Pulisic and Füllkrug. Milan are unbeaten away and have scored consistently.
Head to Head Analysis
Milan dominate this matchup historically and recently. They've won the last four encounters across competitions, including a league double last season (2-1 home and away). Como's last Serie A win over Milan dates back to 1985 (away). In recent clashes, Milan have scored at least two goals in their last four against Como. Games tend to favor the Rossoneri's quality, with Como struggling to contain Milan's attack despite their current home resilience. Como have never beaten Milan in recent top-flight history, and away form for Milan remains perfect—no losses on the road this season. Expect Milan to control possession and create chances, while Como aim to frustrate and hit on the break, but low-scoring affairs possible given Como's tight home defense.
Prediction
Como's unbeaten home record and recent solidity make this trickier than a straightforward Milan win, especially with Milan's minor dip in form and injuries to key attackers. However, Milan's unbeaten streak, superior depth, attacking talent, and historical edge should prevail—they're unbeaten away and motivated to close the gap at the top. Como can nick a goal, but Milan likely grind out the points in a controlled performance.
Final Prediction: AC Milan win 2-1 (or 2-0). Visitors to take the three points—around 65% confidence in a Milan victory, with over 2.5 goals possible but under also in play given recent trends.
From:Preview
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