15th Jan. German Bundesliga---Augsburg VS Union Berlin Prediction
German Bundesliga - Augsburg VS Union Berlin
Match Time:16-01-2026 03:30 Friday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Team News
Augsburg are in rough shape after a dismal start to 2026, hammered 4-0 away at Borussia Mönchengladbach in their Rückrunde opener— their third heavy concession in recent weeks. They've failed to score in their last three Bundesliga matches, highlighting major attacking woes alongside defensive fragility (conceding heavily). Injuries weaken them further: captain Jeffrey Gouweleeuw (long-term medial collateral ligament issue, out until mid-April) and Chrislain Matsima (tendon problem, sidelined until early March) are big defensive absences. Elvis Rexhbecaj's status is uncertain after leaving the last game for family reasons. Positives include the return of Elias Saad, Aiman Dardari, and Samuel Essende from AFCON duty, boosting options up front. Expect Finn Dahmen in goal, with a backline featuring players like Kevin Danso or substitutes, and attackers like Phillip Tietz or Samuel Essende trying to end the drought in a compact setup under pressure.
Union Berlin showed resilience in their opener, clawing back from 2-0 down to draw 2-2 at home to Mainz thanks to late goals from Jeong Woo-Yeong and others. They've been unbeaten in their last three (including pre-break wins over RB Leipzig and Köln), scoring consistently but leaking goals (third-worst defense in the top half). Injuries include left-back Tom Rothe (ruled out), Robert Skov (calf, back late January), and Tim Skarke (unspecified, early February return). Steffen Baumgart's side should field a solid core with Rani Khedira and Janik Haberer in midfield, attackers like Ilyas Ansah (five goals this season) or Oliver Burke providing threat, and a focus on physical, direct play to exploit Augsburg's vulnerabilities.
Head to Head Analysis
Augsburg hold a slight historical edge with seven wins to Union's three and several draws in their Bundesliga meetings. Recent encounters have been tight and low-scoring—four of the last five produced under 2.5 goals, with both teams securing away wins in last season's league clashes. Union's most recent visit to Augsburg ended in their favor (though prior meetings often saw Augsburg strong at home). Games tend to be cagey, with Union struggling for clean sheets away but showing grit in grinding results. Augsburg's home form against mid-table sides can be resilient, but their current scoring drought meets Union's recent ability to find the net (goals in eight straight across competitions). Expect a physical battle with limited clear chances, favoring Union's organization over Augsburg's desperation.
Prediction
Augsburg's home ground and survival urgency could spark a reaction, especially with returning players adding freshness, but their winless run, goalless streak, and defensive injuries make them vulnerable. Union Berlin enter with better momentum, unbeaten lately, and superior depth—they're more likely to nick points through resilience and counters. This looks like a low-event scrap, with Union edging it narrowly or holding firm for a share.
Final Prediction: Draw 1-1 (or narrow Union Berlin win as value). Lean towards Union not losing—around 60% confidence in a draw or away victory, with under 2.5 goals highly probable in this tense relegation/mid-table tussle.
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