15th Jan. Spanish Copa Del Rey---Burgos CF VS Valencia Prediction
Spanish Copa Del Rey - Burgos VS Valencia
Match Time:16-01-2026 04:00 Friday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Team News
Burgos CF enter with momentum from their cup heroics, having knocked out higher-ranked sides like Getafe (in the previous round), Real Zaragoza, and Atlético Tordesillas. Their home record is strong, with goals in most recent matches at El Plantío and a compact, physical style under Luis Miguel Ramis. Key performers include Íñigo Córdoba (decisive goals in recent cup ties, including a brace earlier), David González (team leader in goals and assists), Mario González, and midfielders like Grego and Atienza for control and recoveries. Injuries are minimal—no major reports of absences, though Kevin Appin remains a doubt after missing recent games. The squad looks fresh and motivated, with a full bench available to maintain intensity in this high-stakes knockout.
Valencia arrive amid a tough league season, sitting near the drop zone with inconsistent results (recent draw against Elche). However, their Copa run has been clean: wins over Cartagena, Maracena, and a 2-0 success against Sporting Gijón. Manager Carlos Corberán will rotate but field a competitive side, with Hugo Duro leading the attack (top scorer), supported by Arnaut Danjuma, Diego López, and others like Luis Rioja. Injuries hit hard: defenders Mouctar Diakhaby (hamstring) and Thierry Correia (doubt after recent issue), first-choice GK Julen Agirrezabala (muscle), Jesús Vázquez (illness), and possibly Filip Ugrinic out. Stole Dimitrievski should start in goal, with a backline featuring José Gayà and others. Valencia's away form has been vulnerable lately (multiple defeats on the road), but cup games suit their quality edge.
Head to Head Analysis
These teams have limited recent competitive history, mostly from older La Liga eras (1990s), where Valencia dominated (seven wins to Burgos' three in 12 meetings, plus draws). No direct clashes in modern times due to league differences, making this a fresh matchup. Burgos have never faced Valencia in the Copa del Rey recently, but cup ties between Segunda and Primera sides often see upsets when the lower team hosts with passion—El Plantío's atmosphere can intimidate. Valencia's superior individual talent usually prevails in such games, but their current fragility (poor away record) meets Burgos' defensive solidity and cup scoring form. Expect a tight, physical contest with limited goals early, as Burgos frustrate and Valencia probe for openings.
Prediction
Burgos' home fortress, cup momentum, and Valencia's injury-hit defense plus poor away form create real upset potential—this feels like a banana skin for the visitors. Valencia's quality (eight-time winners) and attacking threat should still shine through, especially if they weather the early storm and exploit counters. The game could be cagey with few clear chances, but Valencia's depth likely edges it in normal time or extra. Goals probable as both have scored in recent cup outings.
Final Prediction: Valencia win 2-1 (or 1-1 forcing extra time/penalties). Narrow away victory for the La Liga side—around 60% confidence in Valencia progressing, with both teams to score likely in this knockout intensity.
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