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23rd Sep. England League Cup---Lincoln City VS Chelsea Prediction
England League Cup - Lincoln City VS Chelsea
Match Time:24-09-2025 02:45 Wednesday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Team Reviews
Lincoln City are entering this EFL Cup (Carabao Cup) third-round match at LNER Stadium (Sincil Bank) on September 23, 2025, in excellent form, sitting 3rd in League One with 18 points from nine matches (5 wins, 3 draws, 1 loss). Their recent form shows three wins and two draws in their last five matches across all competitions, including a 1-0 League One win over Burton Albion and a 3-1 victory against Harrogate Town in the EFL Cup second round. They’ve scored 15 goals and conceded five in League One, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game. At home, Lincoln are unbeaten in their last five competitive matches, with goalkeeper George Wickens keeping two clean sheets. Coach Michael Skubala’s 3-5-2 relies on Tendayi Darikwa’s leadership and James Collins’ finishing (four goals, one assist). No major injuries are reported, but Paudie O’Connor is doubtful (knock). Lincoln will leverage their passionate home crowd and 10-game unbeaten run to press high and exploit Chelsea’s rotated squad, aiming for a historic upset.
Chelsea are in a rough patch, sitting 6th in the Premier League with 8 points from five matches (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss). Their recent form includes two wins, two draws, and two losses in their last six, with a 2-1 Premier League loss to Manchester United and a 3-1 UEFA Champions League defeat to Bayern Munich. They’ve scored eight goals and conceded seven in the league, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game. Away form is inconsistent, with no wins in their last three road games, including a 2-2 draw at Brentford. Coach Enzo Maresca’s 4-2-3-1 will see rotation, likely featuring Robert Sánchez in goal, Cesare Casadei, and Alejandro Garnacho, with Cole Palmer doubtful (groin) and injuries to Liam Delap (thigh), Dario Essugo (thigh), Levi Colwill (ACL), and Mykhailo Mudryk (suspended). Chelsea will aim to stay compact and counter Lincoln’s intensity, seeking to avoid a second third-round exit in four seasons.
Head to Head
This is the first competitive meeting between Lincoln City and Chelsea in 114 years, with their last encounters in 1911, where Chelsea won two of eight historical matches, Lincoln won one, and five ended in draws. No recent data exists, but Lincoln’s 3-1 EFL Cup win over Harrogate and Chelsea’s 0-2 loss to Newcastle in last season’s fourth round provide context. Matches between top-flight and lower-tier sides in the EFL Cup average 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of such games, suggesting a potentially open contest. Lincoln’s 10-game unbeaten run and Chelsea’s historical dominance give both sides psychological leverage, but the long gap since their last meeting makes this a fresh challenge. The sports card above details their 1911 encounters, noting Chelsea’s 2-0 win in their last visit to Lincoln.
Prediction
Chelsea’s squad depth and quality make them favorites, despite their winless run and rotation, against a Lincoln side buoyed by home form and an unbeaten streak. I predict a 2-1 Chelsea win, with Garnacho or Casadei likely scoring, and Collins possibly replying for Lincoln on a set piece. Chelsea’s win probability is around 60%, reflecting their superior squad and Lincoln’s 1-0 Burton win. Expect Chelsea to edge possession (around 54%) and corners (7-9 projected), with Lincoln’s counters and set pieces posing a threat, as seen in their 3-1 Harrogate win. The game should see Chelsea’s rotated attack test Lincoln’s defense, but Lincoln’s resilience could keep it close, mirroring past EFL Cup upsets like Grimsby’s win over Manchester United.
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